Featured

CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

The Caterpillar Option Trade of The Week. (For The Week Ending April 19th,2024)

It happened on Friday. But first this news.
Now here is Caterpillars one day trading chart for Friday April 19th.
So the stock was up in the first hour of trading. It' a friday and anything could happen. Are buyers getting in to be part of the good news earning report? Does that set off alarm bells? A red light or a green light? Is it time for some counterintuitive thinking? Now look at this.
A look at how the 357.50 Puts closed on the day. There are other series I could show however these particular ones best illustrate the point I want to make. Can you see the low of the day on these Puts? Can you see where it says $70.00 a contract? As the stock marched up smartly on the opening this series of Puts was under pressure. If Caterpillar kept going up these options would expire worthless. The exact time period I am talking about was somewhere around 10:15 a.m.. Fast forward the time period to around 12:50 p.m. Look at how the Puts jumped up to $5.00! That was the trade of the week on Caterpillar options. Too complicated a trade you might say? Look again. It was actually pretty simple.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

The Little Engine That Could

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?