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Showing posts from October, 2021

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This One Is Too Nervous To Watch. Pfizer

This is a short blog full of twists. Try to get through it. First a five day chart of Pfizer. chart. In the past week it was up $1.05 and it was the 7th most activity traded stock on the NYSE most active list. It's in a breakout mode. Look at how it traded over the last three years. This breakout mode might last a few days, weeks or months. This stock has a history of moving somewhat slower than most stocks. A second quarter earnings report comes out July 30th. If it's good that could add a touch to the stock's price. Now this. As a general rule stocks and options on stocks in this particular price range are difficult to play and in this case everyone is following the same story. Fred down the street and John around the corner and Mark across town are all dialed into the same commentary. There is nothing that really gives you an edge when it comes to playing it. That's the problem. Here now is a look at the Pfizer "next-week-out" $30.00 series of Call optio

Ford - An Earning Report

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Ford is going electric, that's the buzz. We all know the story. Earnings just came out on the stock and the Call options jumped on the opening. If you were playing options you had to get out just after the opening. With option plays on earning reports that's usually the way to best way play them. First, I will show the prior day's action. There was a gap down on the opening and 94 million shares traded. That's a large number. People were cashing out after recent good times. Now here is a chart of Ford the next day and here is how two option series traded. Buy in at the close and sell out just after the opening. Look at how high each series traded up to just after the opening. The earning numbers were not all that great but it's the buzz about going electric. Ford is one of the better stocks out there to play earning report releases. ** Scroll up to the upper left and read my most recent blog on MacDonald's earning report.

McDonald's

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I was sitting in the drive through line yesterday at McDonalds redeeming a free coffee sticker won from being there a few days prior. It was a long line up for mid-afternoon. I am not a fast food junkie. I found myself thinking of how the Domino Pizza stock was on a terror for much of last year but not so much now. When we were all locked in last year everyone was ordering their pizza. I was also wondered if they would now accept my little free coffee sticker as it was only thumbnail size. Then when I pulled up to the drive thru window I hit a patch of bees. Apparently for whatever reason they were enjoying being at that window. They gave me my free coffee. Boy it was busy there. I note in this option series that there were only 292 open contracts. That small number suprises me. Why didn't more option players see this coming?

The Topic of The Decimination of Good News

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Aurina Pharmecetical Inc. I have talked about this one before. It has a Canadian history. Here is the news on it late last Friday in the last few miutes of trading and here is how the stock reacted. It closed the trading session at $28.00. Today is Monday Oct.25th and my comments are after the fact comments. I have being playing this stock for years as have some of my friends. I missed the news of this happening when it happened. What a day of the week and what a time of the day for such an announcement of that magnitude! Retail Call option holders have to be out of their Call option positions that expire on a Friday by 3:00 p.m. or they run the risk of their brokerage houses selling them out. Option trading desks play by different rules. Image all the then "just-out-of-the money" Call positions, the 26, 27, 28 calls that would be trading for .03, or 04 or .05 cents a contract around 3:35 or 3:45 p.m. on that Friday. Suddenly they would be worth 100 or 200 or 300 hundred fo

Boeing Puts On A Friday Morning Oct21, 2021

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Some people watch t.v. shows like Star Wars on Friday morning while other people watch the markets trade. I am of the later camp. I blogged all week about Boeing and talked about how the U.S. government is breathing down it's neck, ready to chastise them for any move that they make. Is this mornings upward move substainable on the day? At 10:00 a.m. look at the position Boeing is in. First, here is it's five day chart. Now here is the one day chart as of 9:54 a.m. Now here is how the Put options were trading at 9:43 a.m. Note this is a readout about ten minutes earlier when Boeing was still charging up. Somewhere a few minutes ago they even traded for less. Now look at where the Put options are trading at 9:54 a.m., exactly thirteen minutes later. Look at the volume creeping into this series. Boeing has dropped seventy one cents over this period of time. Now a second look at 11:00 a.m. The value of the options is little changed however the volume keeps rolling in. Now a

Ford 15 Calls

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Yesterday I posted a blog called Ford 14 Calls. Please read it to better put this blog into perspective. Here is the action this morning.Call it the perfect storm. $500.00 in to like $4,400.00 in 90 minutes of trading. Why did this happen this way? Well these option expired this day so if your buying in at 9:32 a.m. you only have a matter of hours to get it right. I talked about the Ford 14.5 Calls yesterday and how they exploded up. Today was a continuation of this excess exuberance. Will this occurance repeat itself next week? No. Next week series of Ford 15 Calls will be expensive to buy into because you will be paying for 4 or 5 days of trading time. The kick we saw today was a one time thing. ** Please press the upper left back button to read one of my most recent blogs about the Ford 14.5 Calls.

Ford 14 Calls

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Ford 14 Calls with only a few days to go. I have talked before about Call option trading on Tuesdays and Wednesdays and I have talked many times about playing Call options on Ford. Look at what is happening. . Ford is basking in a spell of good news. Look also at Ford on the opening last Friday fourteen minutes into the opening. . Contrast this to the time period ten or fifteen years ago when amongst other things they faced rollover issues one model of their trucks. That one issue alone badgered them for many years. Let the good times roll. **** look at the high and low on the 14.5 Ford Calls today. Attention to detail is everything.

Lordstown Motors and Polestar

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The race to go electric can sometimes be expensive and sometimes you have to do unexpected things to keep going. Lordstown has had a rocky ride and announced on Friday afternoon a new partnership. Friday afternoons are the ablsolute worst time of the week to make such announcements if there is a chance investors might reacte negatively to such news. It doesn't give the markets much time to allow this news to sink in. Mondays are better when people are more in a forward thinking mode.That's exactly what happened as you can see from these charts. But first the news. So your taking on a new partner with expertise who also supporting the share price. What's wrong with that? Look at the money they are pouring into this company and isn't time of the essence to get the project closer to the finish line. Will this news eventually end up being viewed as a good thing? How much value do you place on this new companies expertise? It has to be worth something. Here are the January