CAT Puts

Can daytraders catch the action like this? 99% of daytraders don't. I watch it, I track it, I occassionally catch some of the action. This morning there was an incredible score to be had. Let me spell it out in greater detail. Look at this chart. It shows how the Ford stock opened on the opening. It opened up about ten cents. That's what the above chart shows. Now let's move on. The next chart is a five day chart. The D.J.I.A. dropped over one thousand points yesterday. Ford surged upwards on an earnings release an then had a partial selloff in the afternoon. Now if you look carefully at this five day chart you will see the slight rebound on the opening. (The one day chart actually shows it better). The 15 series of Ford Puts that expire tomorrow got squeezed. Look at how much they got squeezed for. At the height of this mornings 10 cent uptick they got squeezed down to $.04 per contract. Now lets check in at 11:55 a.m. Can you see how they hit a high of $.42 cents?. I ...

Let's start with a comment made by a Ford executive on the release of their quarterly earning report. There will be a "sunsetting of certain vehicles as we refresh our portfolio". What an elegant way saying they are surviving the changing times. Earnings for the June quarter are $.42 cents per share up from $.37 cents on the quarter a year earlier. Yesterday around 11:00 a.m. would have been a good time to catch a ride on this week's Call options. Let's watch how the markets will react to this news on the opening. Let's look at this week's Call options expiring on Friday (today is a Wednesday) and the January 15 Calls for 2027. That buys you about six months of time. First this week's Call options. They closed yesterday at $.46. Now the January 2027 Calls with a $15.00 striking price. They are a longer term play. Let's what happens on the opening. Will option traders be able to take their money and run? ... Take your money and run or wait? The...

You have to be quick on the opening. It's a Tuesday. Look at this five day chart which has a spike up formation. The last day on the above five day chart is today's trading action. Here now is it's one day trading chart as of the close on Tuesday. You had to buy in early, really early on the opening dip. So the stock closed Monday at $346.09 and on Tuesday sixty seconds into the mornings trading action (which was 9:31:00 a.m.) it was $344.31. Then at 9:32:00 one minute later it was at $343.80. That's an opening drop of $2.29. Now look at this one series of Call options. A low of $375.00 at 9:33 a.m. and a high of $750.00 at 9:56:00 a.m. This is a case of playing a "step-up" chart formation in the first hour of trading. After that the upward thrust ran out of steam. It helped that the D.J.I.A was up 537 points on the day. Buying in on early morning dips on a stock with a"step-up" chart formation sometimes is a profitable experience.

"After it happens written blogs" are not as interesting as "live-action follow this now" blogs. I realize that. Look at Lowe's trading at 9:34:59 on Friday morning. During that second 932 shares traded. The stock was at $202.21. Then at 9:35:00 a.m., in that second 24,370 shares traded. It's new price was $202.85. That's a $.64 cent increase in only one second. Why would that happen? Could it be A1 trading at exactly the 9:35:00 minute mark? I have talked about this before. Look at it's one day chart. Now look at how this one series of Calls, the 202.50 Calls that would be expiring that day traded. Imagine catching them at 9:35 a.m. when they traded down to $.20. Notice how few of these Call options traded.

I wrote the very same type of blog about Boeing's trading pattern last Friday. In that blog Boeing went flat in price for the entire afternoon. Any profits to be made in the Puts happened in a very limited period of the morning's trading action. Might things today happen in the same way? The price of oil is suddenly up. That's not good for Boeing. Let's begin with Boeing's five day chart. Now it's one day chart on Thursday. Look at how the stock wandered back up towards the very end of yesterday. Could it inch up another touch on the opening and then run out of steam? Would this be a good time to be focusing on the 210 Puts? Experience has taught me not to be jumping into Calls options on Thursday afternoons to catch Friday morning rally. That's more something one might do at the end of the day (on Fridays) to catch a Monday morning bounce. Here is a look at what two series of it's Puts are doing and it's chart about eight minutes into Friday morn...

Pfizer options often disappoint however there are times when they can be your best friend. Let me try and explain. First look at it's five day chart. The 24.50 series of Calls have more than doubled in price in two days. Volatile stocks like this in this price range attract an inordinate amount of attention when it comes to option trading and it only flares up during these brief periods when the stock has these extreme price moves. Look at the open interest in this one series of Calls below. It's quite substantial. Now for a simple calculation. If the stock moves up today to $25.00 these $.37 cent options on the 24.50 series of options will probably move up to the $.55 cent range. Buy and sell let's say a block of 25 contracts and you will be rewarded with a nice gain. Now let we share this one observation. Here is a look at how the D.J.I.A. traded yesterday. It was down. Who wants to be holding short term Call options overnight if the markets are souring? Wouldn't t...