CAT Puts

It's only down a touch. Here is what one series of it's Calls are doing. Now this. All that in just under ten minutes. * Was that a wise decision? Look at this. Yes it was. Now there is a new question. What's going to happen next? Here above is it's chart mid afternoon. It's best just to stay away because of the high degree of risk. Now look at how it's trading later on in the afternoon at 3:05 p.m.. Look at these mid afternoon Puts. Lets pause for a second and think this out. Getting in around 2:00 p.m. and getting out at the 3:00 p.m. deadline was another option open to traders late in the trading session. Last hour trading patterns share similarites with early morning trading.

It was stronger than expected. In a blog I did last week on April 24th here is how the 830 series of Calls were trading that day. The open interest and volume of trading in the Calls at that time was next to nothing. Here is how they traded today on their earnings report news. They more than tripled in price in one day. Only 29 contracts traded on the day! Traders were afraid to shell out the large amount of cash $2,771.00 to be exact, to be in the game. That's just to much money. The return was $7,235.00. That is more than a double. Was I wrong for not recommending them as a purchase? I was saying that Caterpillar was trading at lofty levels and I followed the Puts instead which ended up going sideways for a few days. There is always a bit of nervousness just before earning releases. The game with Caterpillar will continue. Now this. It now looks like it's going to go to $900.00 or even $1,000.00 per share.

First a look at the one day chart on a company named Big Bear a.i.. The second chart just above is a five day chart so the jump I am talking about happened on the fourth day of this five day chart which was Tuesday. On Wednesday as you can see the stock slightly retreated. Next you can see how on Tuesday the four series of Calls went from $.04 to $.25. I have blogged about this company in the past. A few months ago this stock was on the most active list week-after-week. Here is it's "year-to-date" chart. This story keeps going. The stock ended having a lessor bounce on Thursday. It was an interesting bounce with a portion of it happened at exactly 2:00 p.m. and lasted for about an hour. Here is what the bounce looked like and this time we are looking at the 3.5 series of Calls which is a lower series of "in-the-money" Calls than we looked at two days ago. Slightly "in-the-money" Calls are the best options to use in situations like this. While al...

The stock opened down and jumped at 9:31 a.m. Look at this chart. In our last blog I followed the trading pattern of it's Calls all day. Had you placed a premarket, "at-market" ticket on the 12 series of Calls your guarented fill on the opening would have reflected the drop in the stocks price in the first few seconds of the opening. Somewhere between 9:30:00 a.m. and 9:30:59 a.m. the 12 series of Calls dropped in price to $.57. Then in the first five minutes of trading they rebounded to a high on the day of $.76. "At-market", "premarket" tickets in this instance would have guaranteed that you would be part of this action. The flip side of this logic is that there were no guarentees that the stock was going to go up. The use of "at-market" tickets on stocks in this price range with four days of trading life left in them should be included in your bag of tricks. Scarier is the use of this type of order on "last-day-to-expiring" opti...

Ford one week options. It's kind of random. Throwing money into one week Call options on a stock that was down last week. Here is how the 12 series of Calls are priced going into Monday's opening market. . If the stock has a good day these options could go to $.90. It's not much of a trade however if you're using a discount broker to do your trading it could be a good "in-and-out" situation. It could also be a real drag if the stock starts to tank lower. Now look at this recent five day chart on Ford. I used it in one of my previous blogs. Ford is known to jump on good news. Now this question? Does the simplicity of my thinking scare you? I also follow Nio but I don't like the way it trades. Here it is going into todays opening. Nio like other EV companies are battling it out for market share. I don't trust the narratives of what they are up to. Five day out options (options that expire this Friday) in a way give you a one day free ride, meaning the...

Let's start with this. Caterpillar has an earnings report coming out on April 30th. You should listen to it. It's not going to be difficult to find. Now look at these how these two series of options closed out the week. The Calls are just "in-the-money" and the Puts are just slightly "out-of-the-money".The cost to play the upside with one week options almost equals what it costs to play the downside. That's kind of strange as usually the Calls cost more to purchase than the Puts. Both are super expensive however Caterpillar as of late can jump $15.00 or $20.00 dollars in one day. When I say super expensive what do I mean? 2,690 means $2,690 Americian per contract. That is not chump change. You would have to have a very strong conviction it was going to move one way or another before you would want to jump in. Yet there is bigger problem. The current price of the stock is in a nose bleeding territory. Look at it's one year chart. Is it really doing ...