Posts

Featured

Why Retail Traders Don't Play Costco Earning Reports

Options on stocks priced in the $1,000 per share price range with two trading days of life left in them are bombs waiting to be exploded. That's why retail traders can't trade them. That plus they are expensive. Earnings are coming today after the closing bell. Here is how things are set up to go before Thurday's opening. First it's five day chart. Now it's 1,000 series of Calls and Puts. Notice the low volumes of trading and the low open interest numbers. ...................... Now look at this action. The Calls sank on the opening and the Puts charged upwards. Here first are how the Calls traded. T52_0ghVpwL62_KdBC8bkD8No0k7uYNehtOpIfeUuRjCiFG4gvPz8-IOqPdaHil- 754 contracts traded in the Calls. Now the Puts. Only 61 Put contracts traded on the day. Here is a more detailed look at the same thing. So the Puts that closed at $1,388.00 yesterday hit a high of $2,638.00 just after today's opening. Maybe it's the high cost of the options which are keeping ...

Boeing. Sneaking Through Chaos Unscathed.

Image
Let's start with this chart. The chart is clean looking. It's still above it's opening low. When this stock decides to move it does so quickly. Now this thirty minutes later.. Now here is now this series of Calls closed the day.. ...... Here is how they closd the day. Here now is it's current five day chart. THis was a mid week trade with no concerns about the time value working against you. ** Boeing dropped like $7.00 on the following day before rebounding a touch. Imagine catching the 272.50 Puts on the opening? Here is how the D.J.I.A. closed on the day.

Exxon Calls Options And War. What's Happening This Week.

Image
Last Sunday I started this blog and never posted it. Here is how it started. The next few weeks will not be normal times for Exxon options. Trading them for the last couple of months has being a walk in the park with crude oil prices stuck in a sideways moving price range. All that is suddenly going to change. Now on Tuesday afternoon I am showing you this five day chart and what one series of this week's Friday expiring options are trading at. The 152.50 series of Calls that expire this Friday. Now this at 3:13 p.m.. Let me point something out. Exxon spiked on both Monday and Tuesday morning. It seems to do that with the world waking up to new problems. In the opening minute or two of each trading session a feeling of panic is in the air. Will this happen again tomorrow morning? In my most recent blogs I have being emphasizing the new need for option traders to adjust their trading horizions to interday moves only and to avoid to trying to create overnight holdings. Let's wh...

Why I Don't Like Trading Options On McDonald's

Image
Same stores sales are up 6.8% in Q4 2025. With inflation and rising labour and food costs, 6.8% is not really very much. Then the rumours about 2,000 or so more outlets opening up this year are the same projections that we heard over the last few years. What they always forget to tell us is the number of their restaurants shutting down. Why might some be shutting down? Well maybe a new highway going is diverting some of the road traffic off in a different direction or a neighbouring high school is closing down. Four years ago they lost some restaurants in Russia. Now look at this. Next this. McDonald's trading on the close back on Thursday. It had a good day. There is new talk about a bigger and better "Big Arch" meal with a bigger burger with a better tangy and creamy sauce. Now this. Today's one day chart. It's Monday. Now it's one day of Call option trading. Look at the volume of trading on these Call options. Over 6,000 contracts. The open interest ...

Caterpillar, Deere And Tesla. These Are Scary Times To Be Trading Options On These Stocks.

Image
We are witnessing huge intraday price movements on stocks like Caterpillar, Deere and to a lesser degree Tesla in the last two weeks. Tesla sales are off in Europe as BYD continues to drop off boatloads of new vehicles into countries never before receptive to their offerings. Tesla now has competition. Caterpillar and Deere now have to worry about tariffs. "Market rotations" are now the new theme as investors worry about where to park their money. Caterpillars and Deeres recent meteorological rises are under attact. Silver stocks continue to rise and Bitcoin holders are not sleeping well at night. The price of gold has gone up and is not showing signs of coming off. People are now wondering if they should be lightning up on the weight of their jewerly boxes. Investors holding baskets of stocks now wonder why. Might they wake up one morning to find everything down 20%. Eight hundred point market drops in one day are now shrugged off as being nothing to worry about and they he...