What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Day Trading Costco On A Early Monday Afternoon - And Then Following The Action For The Rest of The Week.

The options on Costco that I am about to show you don't expire until the end of the week and here is the current one day chart on Costco. It's a Monday. What do you think of this chart? Will it go up or down next? Nobody knows. Here is what the DJIA is doing? Is the stock now hitting a point of resistance? Once again, it's really to early in the week to tell. There is an "open interest" Put number from the previous session of only five contracts. Traders as of the close last Friday had no real interest in playing it down. Recent history of course tells us not to buy Puts on Costco. Why try to go against an upward trend? Why then does this chart catch my attention? It's the leverage I know the options on this stock offers. Stocks in this price range can drop five or ten dollars in only a matter of an hour and the week still still has 29 hours of trading time to go. Could buying in here now on the downside be a good short term trade? That's the questi

Nvidia Options With Two Days To Go

Triple witching is kicking in on Friday and today is a Wednesday with the markets being closed. It's strange that they are closed but they are. The next two days of trading are going to be different. Big players with big bets most likely made closer to the start of the year now have to be rolled into something further out. If you just made $3 million dollars on stock options from trading Nvidia wouldn't you think about taking a tiny portion of the profits and put it into playing the downside? Here now are Nvidia's five and thirty day charts and soon we will looking at the crazy volume of trading on it's "near-to-the-money" Call and Put options. These are options with only two days of trading days life left in them. Can you see it stepping up in price nearly everyday? Like up five days in a row. If you get a ruler out and join up the lines you will see that odds are, based on day to day action that's what is going to contunue to happen. Might it slip back

What is Triple Witching And Last Week's Action

It happens four times a year and it's going to happen on June 21st. It's a market reset. Do your your own research on what it is. Just stay away from trying to play one and two day options on the 19th or 20th later this week. Look at how Tesla traded this week. Tesla was up .53 cents on the week however it was up $14.00 in one day midweek! Now Boeing, it was down $12.97 on the week. Now look at Caterpillar on the week. There was no news to explain why it was trading like this. At the very same time Deere decided to rebound. Are wheat prices going up? Nvidia this week topped the $3 trillion market value level for the first time. This stock keeps going up. Eli Lilly also keeps going up. Volatility like this should attract option traders however catching just the right situation is near impossible. If you have the energy watch the Tesla conference call that happened last week. Find it on Youtube. Elon Musk is telling the world that autonomous driving is just around the cor

Ford Down Seven Cents On The Day Going Into The Closing

Is this an opportunity? Ford nearing the close on a Wedesday with Call options on it that expire in two days. First the five day and then the one day chart. Now look at how the twelve series of Calls traded today towards the end of the day. Now a different look at the same thing. Note they closed the day before at $.23 cents and hit a high of $.39 cents. That was a trade in itself. Now what? Well the chart looks kind of ugly as it has not tested it's previous lows so jumping in to play the short term reversing upwards looks like a scary proposition. That plus buying into options that expire in two days often quickly lose half of their value if the stock ever decides to go sideways for a day. Most option traders overlook the potential of succeessfully of trading Ford options. Let's see how this situation plays itself out. I have talked about situation just like this several times before. One other note. Ford sales were up 7% last month, then to be revised to being up 11.2%

Looking At One Week Price Swings !

This is a good market for price swings. Look at Boeing last week. Boeing was up $12.63 on the week.Then there is Eli Lilly. It was up $28.44 last week. The strange part is falling NYSE stocks outnumbered rising ones, 3-to-2. It is stated that the May job growth seemed to rule out a "near-term" rate cut. Look at the stock McDonalds. It was down $2.68 on the week. What a wild chart. At the start of the year it was running up nicely on the theme they were adding new restaurants in the growing suburbs of every city in North America. Most recently the theme is that people can't afford to eat there. When sentiment changes looking for a rebound is never an exacting science. Look at Ford. It was up two cents last week and it was announced that sales last month were up 7%. If they are up again next month the stock might start to get noticed. Had you purchased the 12 series Calls on Wednesday that expired that Friday you would have done well. Look at Nio. It was the third most