CAT Puts

Here are one series of it's Puts that expire this Friday. They are "out-of-th-money" so it's going to take a bit of a directional move to get a payout. Now it's five day chart. Is the stock going up because the DJIA is up? This to me is more a play on what the markets are doing than the stock itself. Here is how it closed the day. It's largely unchanged from where it was trading at back at 1:18 p.m.. Here is how the D.J.I.A. closed the day. Let's skiop ahead to Friday. It closed down 793 points. The 310 Puts had a good day.

Few traders like trading options on Disney because the stock constantly disappoints. Look at these Calls which expire this Friday. Options on stocks in the 100 range offer good leverage and Wednesdays at noon mark the "middle-of-the-week" inflection points. Let's see what happens here. These Call options expire on Friday. To be continued. Now this, 36 minutes later. Is that good enough of a return? $1.05 was the low of the trading action. Now look at this "bid-and-ask" thirty-four minutes later! Mid week trades like this do happen. ** Here is how Disney closed the week. Put holders never had it this good.

On Monday I talked about two things. First I talked about catching Tesla dropping in price as the markets sold off after a super strong initial surge upwards. Then I talked about Calls on a stock called Super Micro Computer and how it's seventy one year old co-founder got arrested causing the stock to drop over 30% in one day and playing it using Calls for a slight rebound. Both of those situations were one day, relatively straight forward trades. This blog today on Tuesday leading into Wednesday is different. Home Depot jumped upwards in price on Monday partly on "self-promotional" news and then dropped a touch. Here we now are looking a Home Depot at 1:30 p.m. on Tuesday. As you can see it has rebounded somewhat. The DJIA is trading relatively flat. .... It's a good news story but might it be running out of steam? Once again, at 1:30 p.m. according to the volume of Puts bought it looks like it is not going to. Traders do not appear to be jumping into the downside. ...

Here is it's chart. Nobody used options to play it. The stock opened stronger. Now what? The Puts? Ten contracts have traded in the 707.50 series. . Why aren't more traders attracted to this situation? Why haven't ten or fifteen thousand contracts on this series traded so far this morning? Sure it's dangerous however the potential to make money on this trade is huge. Over the next few hours or days Trumph will mess up again and say something stupid. He is the most powerful man in the world. Let's see what happens. Now this only fourteen minutes later. Look at the wide spread in the "bid-and-ask"? Nervousness is in the air. Now this, a look at a lower series of Put options, the $700.00 series. When I see 100 contracts traded I get suspicious. A bigger fish is also playing these options. That doesn't matter. Going solo can be a lonely game. Let's move forward to 12:15 p.m.. Let's go back to the 707.50 series of Puts and look at how it is t...

Here it is. Obviously something when wrong to drive the price of the stock down 30% in one day. This is a Friday chart. Might Monday morning bring a second wave of selling pressure? The company got messed up breaking U.S. export rules. The companies co-founder Wally Liaw, age 71 got arrested for helping Chinese customers getting Super Micro servers containing high - powered Nvidia artificial intelligence processors in violation of U.S. export-control laws. Now here are what this weeks $20.00 series of Calls are priced at going into Monday's morning. Might this event get shrugged off over the weekend? Who knows. Here is the answer, fifteen minutes into the Monday morning trading session. What do I know? Not much. I am suprised that the stock didn't open higher. This could be the second wave of panic selling. Now could be a good time to buy. To be continued. Now this at 10:52 a.m.. Not a bad trade if you're happy with a quick in and out. Opening mornings this strong a...