Posts

Featured

Caterpillar Puts On A Thursday Morning With Friday Being A Holiday

First it's five day chart going into the opening. Now it's one day chart showing selling pressure towards the close on the previous day. Is this dip towards the closing a precursor to Caterpillar opening lower? It's difficult say. Here is how two series of it's Puts closed the day. .. Notice the low volumes of Puts and think back to how Caterpillar was trading over $50.00 lower only two days ago. To me these Put options don't truly reflect the volatility of this situation. Here now is how these two series of Puts traded on the opening. .... I don't understand why more traders didn't see this coming.

Exxon On A Major One Day Dip. Will Trumph In His Usual Way Add To The Confusion After The Market Closes? That's The Bet

Image
It's Wednesday and Exxon has had its's biggest dip on the day in a long time. The DJIA is up. Here is it's chart as of 1:27 p.m. Now it's Calls that expire tomorrow. The trading volume on these contracts is relatively light. Retired U.S. Generals are coming forth and saying Trump has no strategy and just wait until more soldiers get killed. Yet four hours ago and three and two hours ago Exxon was trading at higher prices. Why now? Why an interest in looking for a rebound? Chevron is also down over $11.00. Let's also look at it's Calls. This time we are looking at Call options $2.00 or so "out-of-the-money". These are both high risk trades. Picking a bottom is never an exact science. Let's see what happens. Now this around 2:25 p.m.. Notice a slight rebound in both of these stocks. ... To be continued. This new situation might keep you up all night. A late night report might help. Here is one. Let's see what happens. Now for the Thursd...

Caterpillar,Tesla And Nvidia Puts On A Tuesday Afternoon. It's 3:40:00 P.M.

Image
Caterpillar is up $40.00. at 340 p.m. Might it sell off a touch before the close? The DJIA ended up closing the day 1,024 points! Let's look at these three series of Puts series which expire on Friday. First Caterpillar. Now Tesla and a look at it's Puts about four dollars "out-of-the-money". Now Nvidia with a focus to be watching it's Puts. Once again I would like to mention than these Puts still have three full days of trading life in them. These ones are also slightly "out-of-the-money". Now jump ahead to the closing reading. First Caterpillar once again.The Puts we were watching closed at $7.10 only ten cents higher than what they were trading at when we first looked at them. The Tesla Calls however jumped up to $3.65 from $1.90 and the Nvidia Puts jumped up from $.75 to $1.25. .. This is one approach to playing super strong days in the market without losing any sleep. Puts can sometimes be your best friend. ** A special point to think about....

Part Two Of What McDonald's Is Doing?

Image
Nobody knows whats going to happen tomorrow. Let's jump forward. $1.64 or $164.00 dollars plus commissions will buy you one "310" series of Puts. In the first twelve minutes of trading only one contract traded. That just shows you how dangerous these option contracts can be. We are not talking about a one day move at this point in time. For option traders holding positions like this which were bought for quick flips an hour of watching the stock becomes a guessing game. Here it is now about seven minutes later. Note this, the pain continues? What's the DJIA doing? This becomes the path you are now on and it's to early to think about it becoming a dead end. If you still like the situation then yes you should buy more if you can afford to lose. Perhaps you made a big score on Disney Calls on the previous day. I have talked about that. Now this at 11:09 a.m. Still the same number of contracts traded. Hold these thoughts. Look at how the 310 Puts and the D.J...

What is McDonald's Doing ?

Image
Here are one series of it's Puts that expire this Friday. They are "out-of-th-money" so it's going to take a bit of a directional move to get a payout. Now it's five day chart. Is the stock going up because the DJIA is up? This to me is more a play on what the markets are doing than the stock itself. Here is how it closed the day. It's largely unchanged from where it was trading at back at 1:18 p.m.. Here is how the D.J.I.A. closed the day. Let's skiop ahead to Friday. It closed down 793 points. The 310 Puts had a good day.

Disney, An Easy Read.

Image
Few traders like trading options on Disney because the stock constantly disappoints. Look at these Calls which expire this Friday. Options on stocks in the 100 range offer good leverage and Wednesdays at noon mark the "middle-of-the-week" inflection points. Let's see what happens here. These Call options expire on Friday. To be continued. Now this, 36 minutes later. Is that good enough of a return? $1.05 was the low of the trading action. Now look at this "bid-and-ask" thirty-four minutes later! Mid week trades like this do happen. ** Here is how Disney closed the week. Wednesdays sometimes see market reversals. *** Another quick look at a different trading opportunity. This time on April 2nd with the markets closed on the following day for Good Friday. Options on this stock are something worth following.