CAT Puts

On Monday I talked about two things. First I talked about catching Tesla dropping in price as the markets sold off after a super strong initial surge upwards. Then I talked about Calls on a stock called Super Micro Computer and how it's seventy one year old co-founder got arrested causing the stock to drop over 30% in one day and playing it using Calls for a slight rebound. Both of those situations were one day, relatively straight forward trades. This blog today on Tuesday leading into Wednesday is different. Home Depot jumped upwards in price on Monday partly on "self-promotional" news and then dropped a touch. Here we now are looking a Home Depot at 1:30 p.m. on Tuesday. As you can see it has rebounded somewhat. The DJIA is trading relatively flat. .... It's a good news story but might it be running out of steam? Once again, at 1:30 p.m. according to the volume of Puts bought it looks like it is not going to. Traders do not appear to be jumping into the downside. ...

Here is it's chart. Nobody used options to play it. The stock opened stronger. Now what? The Puts? Ten contracts have traded in the 707.50 series. . Why aren't more traders attracted to this situation? Why haven't ten or fifteen thousand contracts on this series traded so far this morning? Sure it's dangerous however the potential to make money on this trade is huge. Over the next few hours or days Trumph will mess up again and say something stupid. He is the most powerful man in the world. Let's see what happens. Now this only fourteen minutes later. Look at the wide spread in the "bid-and-ask"? Nervousness is in the air. Now this, a look at a lower series of Put options, the $700.00 series. When I see 100 contracts traded I get suspicious. A bigger fish is also playing these options. That's a good thing. Going solo can be a lonely game. Let's move forward to 12:15 p.m.. Let's go back to the 707.50 series of Puts and look at how it is t...

Here it is. Obviously something when wrong to drive the price of the stock down 30% in one day. This is a Friday chart. Might Monday morning bring a second wave of selling pressure? The company got messed up breaking U.S. export rules. The companies co-founder Wally Liaw, age 71 got arrested for helping Chinese customers getting Super Micro servers containing high - powered Nvidia artificial intelligence processors in violation of U.S. export-control laws. Now here are what this weeks $20.00 series of Calls are priced at going into Monday's morning. Might this event get shrugged off over the weekend? Who knows. Here is the answer, fifteen minutes into the Monday morning trading session. What do I know? Not much. I am suprised that the stock didn't open higher. This could be the second wave of panic selling. Now could be a good time to buy. To be continued. Now this at 10:52 a.m.. Not a bad trade if you're happy with a quick in and out. Opening mornings this strong a...

Back on June 26th 2024 I posted a blog about V.W. injecting $5 billion dollars in Rivian. That's a fair chunk of money. Here are two clips borrowed from that blog. .... Rivian jumped on that news. It now has a future. Now look directly below at how it traded two days later. The good news from this event quickly dissipated. Now guess what? Look at what happened this week. There was a Rivian "good news" event again. Now here is how the stock performed this week on this news. Jumping into buying Puts on this news with two days of life left in them would have been the way to play it. Here is how two series of Rivian Puts traded on Friday. (For interest sake only, here is Rivian's three year chart. It has it's ups and downs). For the most part, Rivian is not a fun stock to play options on. That's a comment I often make about playing stocks in the $15.00 range. **** History doesn't repeat itself when it comes to where our readership is coming from. This i...

Here we are on a Friday morning with the DJIA index down over 1,000 points in the last three days of trading. Short term Puts nearly double everyday. Now look at Tesla's one and five day trading charts. Tesla was bombarded all week about news of autonomous driving. The narrative was relatively upbeat. Now at look at this series of Calls. Might Tesla suprise to the upside on the day? They did on the opening and then they dropped. Now this, how the indexes are doing at 11:15 a.m. They are only a tad better than when we first looked at them. .. Knowing that Friday afternoons can be a rough ride do you take a modest profit and get out? We did afterall miss the low of the day in this option series and part of the mini ensuing rebound. I would. Now this at 1:41 p.m. just under two hours later. The party for these Calls is over. This was a bad week for the markets. A short part two. Can you buy Calls on Tesla at $2:00 p.m. that expire at $3:00 p.m. That's the time of the day thes...