CAT Puts

Caterpillar Calls with one day go and Caterpillar Puts with one day to go. Boeing Calls and Puts with one day to go. Both stocks have had massive unbated run ups in the last five days trading sessions. Now lets look at the Caterpillar Call and Puts options at Thursday's close going into Friday. These are the Calls and Puts that expire tomorrow. The premiums on these option contracts are at slightly elevated levels given the volatility in the trading of these options over the last few trading sessions. Will this be another day, like most in the recent past where these stocks gain one to three dollars? This is to rich a game for me to play. It was a good game to be in during the last few days. Let's start with the Caterpillar Calls. The premiums on the Cat 225 Calls don't make sense. At $1.60 per contract thay are .46 cents "out-of-the-money" meaning the stock would have to jump to $227.04 just to break even. That's crazy expensive. The Puts also are no bargai...

So Rivian shares have dropped. What a dream machine they have built. But wait, they also are hooked in with Amazon and they are providing them with electric trucks. Now look at this. Their number of employees. How would you get to this level of employees if you were not onto something good? Look at how they have more employees than many of their piers. Yet there is a risk to the stock's price if they were to suddenly announce that they are laying off a thousand or so workers. Amazon is using a number of their delivery trucks and it's obviously a learning curve for both of them. How well are they built and will they prove to be problem free? Rivian still has to prove the quality is there. Then there is also the issue that G.M. has leaped ahead of them and is busy shipping out these electric trucks from Canada with a 250 mile range .G.M. has deep pockets and their factory for exclusively this product is up and fully operational. On a different note the truck company Lordstown...

Electric motorcycles. It's a new field. Companies in India and China are now making them. So Harley Davidson has decided to spin off a new company to start producing them. It's wise to place that operation in a new name. New money comes just on the strenght of the Harley name and the company gets to wander off in a new direction to tinker on something new. It's called "LiveWire Group". Symbol "LVWR". But wait, lets be blunt. There are start up cost and learning curves. They are taking a go slow approach keeping guidance numbers low. Model offerinsg down the road a few years from now will probably be more disireable. It is doubtful that the early models will prove to be collectable. Learning curves will be for everyone, since if you are out on the street you may not hear one pulling up next to you. A motorcycle with no noise. Some bikers would find this new reality strange. Would they be as much fun to operate if they are silent? Read the reviews online. ...