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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially gain from this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it have a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The...
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The Concept Of Playing Caterpillar Calls From An Oversold Situation

There is a danger in playing oversold situations. How do you truly know it's oversold? Well last week there was a total blowout in the markets as it kept dropping everyday. Each day last week was a blur to the downside. What are weekends all about? They are a reprieve in situations like this from all of this negative energy. Thing's can't go down forever. Here is Caterpillar's most recent chart.
So this morning, with fresh minds coming to the screens an uptick could be in sight. I would think so, I watched this mornings action. Look at these printouts. I was tracking one of the series of Caterpillar's Calls. It was lonely experience. Few people were watching this action, or lack of action. There were no trades in this series of Calls in the first few minutes and the speads were far apart. Where was the rebound? Look at this..
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Wow. Only 2 contracts traded 9 minutes after the opening bell and 31 contracts traded in the 225 Calls an hour into the trading session. No one saw an uptick coming but it did. Let's move on. Here is how these options closed the day.Trading options on series like this (a big name stock after a weekend reprieve from the slaughter and no real volume on the Calls) is a good strategy.
No volume, to me that's a good thing. Tomorrow should be a good day. ( the Yahoo chart cut out at 2:00p.m.)
****** A next morning March 14th update. These options are up.
At 10:45 a.m. look at how light the volume of trading is. Look at a morning jump to over $6.00 per contract. Amazingly next to nothing in the way of Call options traded on it. Yet it's Caterpillar which has a huge following. I find that all so strange. But then again option traders are afraid to play options on this stock because it's not like playing Tesla or Boeing which both have more knee jerking reactions to ongoing news. That's the way I see it.

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