Showing posts from April, 2021


What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

"Ford" Down One Dollar On The Opening.

That's a huge number and it happened in the first thirty minutes of trading. For an option trader it doesn't really matter why. How do you profit on such a move? It's a Thursday. Do you buy "Calls" that expire tomorrow? No, you look one week down the road. Did I buy any? Well I wonder if the dip is so significant that any kind of a rebound will be a struggle. I would buy the stock now but not the options on it. If you buy for example ten of the "Ford" eleven dollar "Calls" for May 21st you will be shelling out lets say $460.00 for a position that might be worth $660.00 on a twenty five or thirty cent rebound. Numbers like that don't excite me very much. Perhaps the "Calls" six or nine months out or so would be a better way to go. Here is a look at a January series of "Call" options. Look at how much they sold off in one hour of trading time! For options nine months out that's a big deal.

"Big Fools - Gamestop - Stuff"

Look at this chart and I will tell you what happened. One day back in January of this year "Elon Musk" inadvertently referenced the wrong stock called "Signal Advance Inc." and as you can see it went crazy. Instant profits for some lucky shareholders. The chart doesn't tell the whole story. If you look at the January 11th printout what you will see is that the stock started the day at $7.49, went to $70.85 and backed off to close at $31.51. Now here is where it is trading today, down in the $2.20 range. It traded 2.3 million shares on Jan 11th, the day of it's high and now it trades on avarage something like 12,000 shares a day. Now here is the "Gamestop" chart. It's taking longer to crash down to earth. Next is "Sernova Corp.", a London Ontario based stock. On January 7th it was trading at .62 cents and ten days later on Jan 17th, 8.7 million shares traded in one day and closed at $2.42. Now it's backed off in price to $1.48