What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

"Ford" Down One Dollar On The Opening.

That's a huge number and it happened in the first thirty minutes of trading. For an option trader it doesn't really matter why. How do you profit on such a move? It's a Thursday. Do you buy "Calls" that expire tomorrow? No, you look one week down the road.
Did I buy any? Well I wonder if the dip is so significant that any kind of a rebound will be a struggle. I would buy the stock now but not the options on it. If you buy for example ten of the "Ford" eleven dollar "Calls" for May 21st you will be shelling out lets say $460.00 for a position that might be worth $660.00 on a twenty five or thirty cent rebound. Numbers like that don't excite me very much. Perhaps the "Calls" six or nine months out or so would be a better way to go. Here is a look at a January series of "Call" options. Look at how much they sold off in one hour of trading time! For options nine months out that's a big deal.


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