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Showing posts from September, 2021

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Deere On Earnings

Here is a look at Deere towards the end of the afternoon after an earnings report. It got beat up pretty bad. What we are now looking at is a printout of one option series which will be expiring the next day were trading towards the end of the trading session. Would now be a good time to buy into these 395 Calls and try to play tomorrow's upside? Lets look at how these options traded the next day. Can you see they hit a high of $4.65 sometime during the following day? I did two very small trades on the Friday morning bounce back. I just wanted to cover my commissions a make a touch. Remember Deere options are extremely difficult to play and with only hours to go before they expire its not bad to take a profit whenever you see one. .................. My times in were 10:14 to 10:31 a.m. and 10:59 to 11.09 a.m. I missed the elusive high of $4.65 which happened after I got out. Part Two. Going forward. Let's look at Deere's five day chart and look at how the 400 series o

The Regulation Of Forward Looking Statements

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Did you read the fine print of my Sept. 27th blog about Zen Graphene Solutions? A newish company making claims to be able to crank up production to fill the demands of a new ingredent used in the production of Covid masks. Click around the internet and find out the number of employees they have. Not many. Their new partner is not a listed company. Why are they talking about an estimated capacity to coat the equivant of 800 million masks per month? That many, really? In a similiar sort of way, in my Sept. 16th blog I talked about Limestone Boats and their claims to be able to crank out 550 boats next year. A picture in that blog shows their first two boats being shipped out for motors and sea testing. Without a track record of making boats this year how can they justify such a number? Then there is Odd Burger. I talked about this stock on September 6th with plans to open 20 restaurants next year. How did they pick the number twenty? Why not ten? How do you plan for twenty when you curre

The Future of Ford

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There is news! The stock is jumping. Look at todays volume of trading as of 2:00 p.m. The average daily volume is around 59 million shares. What a vote of confidence! Anyone holding Ford Call options has been rewarded. Is it clear sailing going forward? It should be for the next few months as Ford revels in this glory. But wait, this is all tall and no action. Where does all the money come from to make this happen? These sunny days will not last forever.

"Zen Graphene Solutions" TSXV

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Do have three or four minutes for a quick read? It might drop back to three dollars or it might go to ten and beyond. This is a feel good, tell your friends about story. The stakes are high playing a stock like this. Do your own homework. ***** For a September 20th corporate presentation go to www.sedar.com and find it under "news releases". I also note. . Ten million dollars or so can now get sucked out of this company and go to management at the expense of new shareholders buying in. A December 2023 update. it has tanked.

Boeing - A Decision -Up or Down on a Friday Morning and Looking at Slightly Out-of-the-Money Calls As A Vehicle of Choice

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Slightly "out-of-the-money" Call or Put options give you the greatest kick with only one day to go. With that in mind look at what was happening to the 222.50 Boeing Calls during the first hour of today's trading. On the opening the stock didn't seem to know which way it wanted to go and markets like this can be very exciting for option plays who want to make a flip in a matter of minutes. They just want to-get-in-and-out and never want to think about it again until next Friday morning at the same time. Getting out an hour later was the name of the game. NOW Lets review this blog. It's saying to put a bid in at the opening on a Friday morning on slightly "out-of-the-money" Calls on Boeing that expire that day. At what price? Well in this case which is extreme (that's what your looking for) it's saying not to have a bid in on the opening but rather a bid in during the premarkets. In this case you would want to have a premarket bid already i

Boeing and Caterpillar

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These blogs are starting to get repetitive. Blogs about Boeing and Caterpillar rising after Monday's meltdown. The DJIA was up today over 500 points and here is how these two companies did. Look at the extremely light volume in both of these two Call option series. What does this tell us? Two things. It tells us about the sophistication level of today's traders. Getting in on a Thursday looking for a one day bounce is not a smart way to trade. Secondly, these are both "in-the-money" postions and the best percentage kicks happen with near-to-the-money options. Let me show you the swings on the 195.00 and 197.50 Caterpillar Calls today. Both were up over 200%. In both of these series the volume of trading exceeded the open interest levels. Out-of-the money postions in near term expiring Calls is where the action is on days that enjoy 500 point rallies.

Boeing and Google Calls the Best on the Day After a 800 Point Dip.

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No one saw the drop coming. It was a really bad day. Stock holders would now be caculating their forty percent losses in their portolio to now reaching fifty percent. That's how bad it was. Some people say that playing options is to difficult to do yet owning stock is not always a walk in the park. Here are two of clips. The first one shows what was happening with the stock Google and the second clip shows Boeing. These are of rebounds in the markets near the end of the trading day. The last hour of trading. Frequent "Google" and Boeing-option-traders" loved it. Now here are the opening numbers thirty minutes into the market on the following day. Things are up enough to give Call option traders a tradable opportunity. Now can to see option trading as being interesting? Here is the strange thing. Go back and see the number of contracts traded on Google in the first three or four minutes of trading. There was suprisingly only one. With the size of our earth and the m

Boeing Calls on a Monday Morning And The DJIA Down 500 Points

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Let's start with a few premarket opening numbers. Not a happy opening. How do you tackle the week in option trading when it starts like this? Do you jump into Calls hoping for a rebound or do you stay away? Let's see the volume of trading on some of our favourite picks in the first five minutes or so of market trading. Note fifteen minutes into the trading day the DJIA is down about 500 points. What is there to learn from this? Well don't expect a noon reversal. There might be buying opprtunities after three in the afternoon so sit tight and do nothing. Here are a few closing prices. Will the markets rebound and is this a welcoming buying opportunity for option players? No one knows and snap rebounds often accompany these major sell offs. Any kind of bounce on the opening tomorrow may be short lived. Here are the closing numbers. Tomorrow we will look at "the open interest numbers" to try and see how positions increased as or if, computereized trading kicked in.

TSXV:BOAT

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The symbol is catchy. This company spends money but doesn't yet make money and is .24 cents a share. I don't own any of these shares. It has a Collingwood Ontario address which should help to perk the interest of potential investors living in that area and a website called www.Limestoneboats.ca. Here is a picture of it's first two boats being hauled away to have motors mounted on them. That recent occurance was cause for a press release, kind of like Rivian celebrating their first truck being driven off the line. Yet things with this boat building company, the Limestone Boat Company Limited are still a bit more under raps and one has to wonder if press releases like this are pushing the envelope when it comes to making "forward looking statements". The boat building industry is not rocket scientist stuff, it's labour intensive and depends for the most part on economies of scale. Starting from scratch is a big undertaking. Get it wrong and the bailiffs will be

Odd Burger... Symbol "Odd.V"

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A London Ontario, Canada company. A dollar a share listed on the Vancouver stock exchange. Low daily trading volumes. A vegan fast food chain with plans to open 20 restaurants in the next year. Visit their website and check out their menu, or better yet try it out. Go to Sedar.com and read the 'management discussion analysis" for the nine months ending June 30th. 2021. My notes. Lost $3.5 million in the last nine months (a huge amount of money), revenue $257,401 for the quarter, spent in excess of $2.5 million in listing expenses and $422,954 in professional fees (I have heard of other companies exiting the Vancouver Market to go off to the Nasdaq). To be in business now costs big numbers, wages $391,835 for the most recent quarter verus $6,569 for the quarter before it. How could that be? Investors can't be happy with the irregularites with these kind of numbers. This is a start up company. What a scramble. Might they be overly optimistic in their rollout plans because o