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Showing posts from September, 2021

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The Falling Off A Cliff Chart. I.B.M.

I.b.m. had a bad week. Here is how bad it was. Sometimes you see charts like this. It was down $74.89 on the week. What happened? The headlines said "I.B.M. just sent a warning to dividend investors". Something about it missing earnings forecasts because of an artificial-intelligence-related shift in it's customers spending. That is a new one that we don't hear very often. Which way is this stock going to now move? It's probably dumb to be chasing this when the outcome will most likely be all so random. Let's share the experience together. Here is what the Calls and Puts closest to what the stock is trading at are doing going into Monday morning's action. Don't gasp and say that the premiums exorbitant? They are not. Something is happening in our markets. I.B.M. got a real shakeout. Which way do you play it? Buying in on a Friday and cashing out on the following Monday morning opening would be one way however that opportunity is now missed. These opt...

The Regulation Of Forward Looking Statements

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Did you read the fine print of my Sept. 27th blog about Zen Graphene Solutions? A newish company making claims to be able to crank up production to fill the demands of a new ingredent used in the production of Covid masks. Click around the internet and find out the number of employees they have. Not many. Their new partner is not a listed company. Why are they talking about an estimated capacity to coat the equivant of 800 million masks per month? That many, really? In a similiar sort of way, in my Sept. 16th blog I talked about Limestone Boats and their claims to be able to crank out 550 boats next year. A picture in that blog shows their first two boats being shipped out for motors and sea testing. Without a track record of making boats this year how can they justify such a number? Then there is Odd Burger. I talked about this stock on September 6th with plans to open 20 restaurants next year. How did they pick the number twenty? Why not ten? How do you plan for twenty when you curre...

The Future of Ford. Short Term It Is Not Good

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There is news! The stock is jumping. Look at todays volume of trading as of 2:00 p.m. The average daily volume is around 59 million shares. What a vote of confidence! Anyone holding Ford Call options has been rewarded. Is it clear sailing going forward? It should be for the next few months as Ford revels in this glory. But wait, is this all talk and no action. How long will it take to build these new facitities and what will the E.V. marketplace look like three or four years do the road? This good news report may turn sour quickly as Ford is losing money on on each electric vehicle they sell. That's the problem built into this situation. In the short and mid term, things do not look good. Stay away or buy Puts.