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What's Next For Caterpillar And Deere

Let's start with Caterpillars five day chart. You can see how it zoomed upwards this week as a result of it's quarterly earnings report. If you want to play the downside next's weeks options are going to cost you something like $1,000.00 per contract. Here are how one series of Puts, the 575 Puts closed the day on Friday. So the stock has to drop like $12.00 in five trading sessions just to break even. What a daunting challenge trying to figure out these ones. Many option players accustom to playing the ups and downs of Caterpillar when it was trading at price levels like $325.00 only six months ago now feel totally out of the game. It's now not a game for the little guys. I get it. Now this, a look at how Caterpillar traded on the day last Friday. Between 10:00 a.m. and 12:30 p.m. the stock dropped $15.00 dollars. The one day options that were expiring that day had an amazing price swing. So a new trend I see happening is a shift away from playing one and two week o...
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The Regulation Of Forward Looking Statements

Did you read the fine print of my Sept. 27th blog about Zen Graphene Solutions? A newish company making claims to be able to crank up production to fill the demands of a new ingredent used in the production of Covid masks. Click around the internet and find out the number of employees they have. Not many. Their new partner is not a listed company. Why are they talking about an estimated capacity to coat the equivant of 800 million masks per month? That many, really? In a similiar sort of way, in my Sept. 16th blog I talked about Limestone Boats and their claims to be able to crank out 550 boats next year. A picture in that blog shows their first two boats being shipped out for motors and sea testing. Without a track record of making boats this year how can they justify such a number? Then there is Odd Burger. I talked about this stock on September 6th with plans to open 20 restaurants next year. How did they pick the number twenty? Why not ten? How do you plan for twenty when you currently have only a couple now open. How can you open new restaurants when their tract record of making money does not exist? My point is that forward looking statements need to be quantifiable and in many instances they are not. Why aren't our regulators jumping all over this? Its scary that they are not. Then there is Lamperd Lethal Weapons I mentioned in a Jan 6th blog. On that day it traded 69 million shares and tripled in price. When the riots broke out at the White House in Washington last year the police who were there used the Lampard Less Lethal body shields. Why wasn't a press release issued on that occuance? Why aren't they now putting out press releases on things like new shipping orders to new clients in different countries or changes in exporting rules which benefit their abilities to do more busines? Ford did things differently in their press release a few days ago. They made a statement to the effect that "the Tennesse assembly and battery complex will be about three times the size of Ford's sprawling century old Rouge River manufacturing complex". What a clever spin on things. My point is that press releases or lack thereof need to be more highly regulated. Here now is Lampard Less Lethal's year-to-date chart pattern. It is a dangerous stock to play. It now trades at a penny and one half. The only way to get more dangerous than that is to have it trade at half that price. That might happen if they don't capitalize one the use of press releases to inform the public of developing trends.

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