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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially gain from this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it have a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The...
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How The Big Option Traders Made Money This Morning

In most of my blogs I poke around talking about speculating in options on five and ten stocks and sometimes talk about the action in Boeing or Caterpillar. It's all kind of introductory stuff. This blog is different, it's about Amazon, a stock that trades in the $3,500 price range per share. To rich for your blood you might say? I agree but that is where the action is for many of the sophicated option traders. It's big money chasing big rewards. Yet the basic premise of how things work remain the same. This week there are weekly jobless claims reports and the Institute for Supply Management readings on manufacturing activity for the prior month, amongst other reports. The first few days of any month are always busy days of economic reports.
Amazon sometimes exhibits the jitters and it can sometimes be blind sided by bad news. Bad news can send the stock down seventy five dollars in one day. Here is it's trading action yesterday. It gained $8.00 on the day but it was down $25.00 in the last two hours of trading. That's the jitters I am talking about, sellors getting out before the release of job loss/ gain numbers.
So hear we have a stock closing on a Wednesday at $3,479 per share. Would you have the guts to buy in just prior to Wednesday's close a Call option with a striking price of 3,500 which is $21.00 dollars "out-of-the-money" that expires in two trading days? Here is the series of option contracts I am talking about and here is where they closed. They closed at $11.20 a contract with over 31,000 Call option contracts trading on that series in one day! Then in the next the next printout I will show you what price they traded up to on the Thursday morning opening market. Look at how these options jumped up in price.
$11.20 to $19.55 just after the opening at 9:34 a.m. Amazon jumped up $22.00 on the opening. Some option traders trade in a different league.

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