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Deere On Earnings

Here is a look at Deere towards the end of the afternoon after an earnings report. It got beat up pretty bad. What we are now looking at is a printout of one option series which will be expiring the next day were trading towards the end of the trading session. Would now be a good time to buy into these 395 Calls and try to play tomorrow's upside? Lets look at how these options traded the next day. Can you see they hit a high of $4.65 sometime during the following day? I did two very small trades on the Friday morning bounce back. I just wanted to cover my commissions a make a touch. Remember Deere options are extremely difficult to play and with only hours to go before they expire its not bad to take a profit whenever you see one. .................. My times in were 10:14 to 10:31 a.m. and 10:59 to 11.09 a.m. I missed the elusive high of $4.65 which happened after I got out. Part Two. Going forward. Let's look at Deere's five day chart and look at how the 400 series o

Boeing and Caterpillar

These blogs are starting to get repetitive. Blogs about Boeing and Caterpillar rising after Monday's meltdown. The DJIA was up today over 500 points and here is how these two companies did.
Look at the extremely light volume in both of these two Call option series. What does this tell us? Two things. It tells us about the sophistication level of today's traders. Getting in on a Thursday looking for a one day bounce is not a smart way to trade. Secondly, these are both "in-the-money" postions and the best percentage kicks happen with near-to-the-money options. Let me show you the swings on the 195.00 and 197.50 Caterpillar Calls today. Both were up over 200%.
In both of these series the volume of trading exceeded the open interest levels. Out-of-the money postions in near term expiring Calls is where the action is on days that enjoy 500 point rallies.

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