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Will The Markets Top Out?

The Nasdaq Composite index closed up 4.7% on the week. the S&P 500 index, was up 3.6% and the D.J.I.A.was up 3%. Given the elevated volatility levels options have become extremely expensive to buy. Here for example is how Avis Budget traded on Friday. At one point in the day the 300 series of Calls traded as high as $15.43 on the day. ........ Now look at the prices on this week's upcoming Calls and Puts. ... What happened to the old days of paying $5.00 or $6.00 for one week out options? Look at how Caterpillar jumped on the week on no real news? Up like $83.00 from it's low back on a Monday. Here now is what a one week out just slightly "out-of-the-money" 790 series of Puts is trading at. That's not as bad as the premiums on Avis Budget but look at Caterpillar's thirty day chart. Actually the stock does look somewhat vulnerable to the downside however the risk of pulling the trigger and purchasing a Put is to great. What else is there to consider...
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The Future of Ford. Short Term It Is Not Good

There is news! The stock is jumping.
Look at todays volume of trading as of 2:00 p.m. The average daily volume is around 59 million shares. What a vote of confidence!
Anyone holding Ford Call options has been rewarded.
Is it clear sailing going forward? It should be for the next few months as Ford revels in this glory. But wait, is this all talk and no action. How long will it take to build these new facitities and what will the E.V. marketplace look like three or four years do the road? This good news report may turn sour quickly as Ford is losing money on on each electric vehicle they sell. That's the problem built into this situation. In the short and mid term, things do not look good. Stay away or buy Puts.

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