Showing posts from March, 2022


What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Caterpillar Calls. A Classic Trading Situation.

Early indications were that the markets were set to rally on Tuesday March 29th. Most of the stocks that is except for Caterpillar. I scurried around looking for news as to why Caterpillar was trading lower in the premarkets but couldn't find anything. Caterpillar, in spite of it's size often seems to trade in a bubble. It's movements up and down seem so random. Institutional shareholders move huge blocks of stock in very selective ways. Within only a few minutes of trading the markets were up strongly but Caterpillar was going in the opposite direction. When you look at it's opening chart below one would have to ask themselves if there would be any support at the $219.00 dollar price level. It's the falling knife syndrome. If you're looking for a reversal when do you buy in? With the markets so strong one would think it's only a matter of time before the stock stops falling. Well look at the volume of trading on the 220 Caterpillar Call series (that expi

Deere and Company - One Of The Most Dangerous Series Of Call and Put Options to Play When There Is Only Hours To Go.

If you have winnings from a previous trade sometimes you value that money differently. It's difficult to explain why but there are scholars out there who have written books on this very topic. It's like play money or free money that you can now use to make the wildest option trades you can think of. It's money you feel you can risk. It's like being a kid in a candy store with money in your pocket. Everything looks good.There are two stocks that I sometimes follow, Dominos Pizza and John Deere. Both have options available to trade on them however the Call and Put options on the first one, Dominos are near impossible to trade. Why? Well on a Friday morning with options expiring that day on it, how do you predict which direction the stock on the world's largest pizza company is going to go? The answer is you can't. The company is painfully aware that one news release about the price of cheese going up or problems with their ordering apps could send their stock int

Nio Again- Day Trading Options on This Electric Car Company And Part Two Of Trading In the Premarkets.

Yesterday's blog was about using the premarkets to sell out at a profit two Nio Puts I was holding. "Nio" rallied on Wednesday and tanked on Thursday. I got out of my position with a premarket selling ticket which all options traders can do. The trick in making these types of trades is that there are no bids and ask on your screen so you have to pick a price you're happy with and then live with the consequences. At the end of this blog I will show you how I am trying to do this again before the market opens this morning on a different stock. It's Friday March 11th and the markets open in a few hours. This time it will be a Call option on Boeing I am trying to sell again into the premarkets. I would like to now explain a failed attempt to again trade Nio Calls in yesterdays afternoon markets. I will show you Nios one day chart and the trade I did. It is my experience that it is not wise to "go back to the same well", meaning trading the same stock over ag

Ford This Morning After A Biden Speech

What an opening chart! Here also is a different chart showing how Ford closed the day yesterday. It's the very same chart minus this morning's spike. It's amazing how a Presidential speech the night before can help to move the markets in certain stocks in this price range. Now lets look at how this affected the 17 series of Calls. What do you see in the above printout? At 2:17 p.m. yesterday before the speech the Ford 17 Calls were trading at .24 cents or twenty four dollars a contract. I was watching them. Now look at what they are trading at this morning, the morning after the Biden speech and look at what where they were traded at the end of the day.