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Showing posts from April, 2023

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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...

A Blogging Website About Caterpillar

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Ok. I am guilty of falling asleep at the switch. Caterpillar had great earning report this morning and the stock tanked on the opening. Here is it's five and one day chart. Now the highlights of the report. So now what do I want to show. How the different series of Call options traded. Notice the volumes in the 200 and 202.50 Calls. Next to no volume. Notice the rewards on the higher priced "out-of-the-money" Calls. Big rewards. In the ninety minutes of trading this morning the stock was off slightly. What an opportunity missed!

Barron's and Their Comments on the Auto Stocks

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1) Telsa. What they are saying is to wait and see if it drops down to $100.00 then buy it. The stock is volatile. U.S. sales of all-electric vehicles grew 45% year over year. Sales of gasoline-powered cars were roughly flat from the fourth to the first quarter, while EV sales climbed roughly 15%. Telsa is still the king of the EV future. 2) G.M. and Ford? Maybe, they say these two stocks should be considered as technology stocks and maybe they warrant higher price/earning ratios. For a decade, their stocks have traded, on average at about seven times estimated next years earnings, while the S&P 500 Index has fetched 18 times. Todays cars require a huge amount of software. G.M. has the Cruise which operates a fleet of self-driving taxis in San Franciso and will apply this driver-assistance system to it's new 2024 Cadillac Celestiq, an ultra-luxury sedan with a likely base price of $300,000. It looks like the big players will survive. All eyes are on Telsa which swings up and dow...

One Analyst Pays A Visit To A Company Shop

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.As the title says one analyst pays a visit to a company shop (he has a big bag of junior stocks to research and write about) and walks away starry eyed. Only in Canada. Here is the stocks five year and one year chart. Here are the January 2024 Call options. Thirty dollars down to two dollars a share, what a ride for investors. So many "let's go electric" companies have had to go back to the well, often many times to ask for more money which dilutes the stock price. See my previous blogs on this company. Retail investors have no stomach for these kinds of stocks which have had a poor track record of providing meaningful guidance. Yet the macro winds are changing as our governments are going all in. Consider this. The world is going electric and little companies like Lion Electric are fighting for a piece of the action. So many electric vehicle stocks have disappointed. Names, in a random order like Polestar - PSNY, Fisker - FSR, - Lordstown - RIDE, Lucid LCID, Son...

Telsa and Ford

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A recent blog talked about playing options on Ford. Elon Musk made some comments on how he plans to run his business by dropping prices ramping up production and pushing harder for self driving vehicles. Worry ensues. Image buying some random Telsa or Ford Puts a few days ago. When Musk speaks get ready for some action.

Electric Car Charging Stations -Trying To Understand Where The industry Is Going

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There are new developments in the electric charging station story. The U.S.government is on a mission to go green and is pouring money into the industry. Investors are starting to wake up to this action. Many people have followed the charging station story in great detail. Stocks in this sector have a history of large swings. EVgo and Blink are two names to researh. EVgo was up $2.29 last week to $7.79. Revenue rose about 150% in the electric-car charging network's December quarter to $27 million. It expects 2023 sales between $105 and $150 million. Here is it's five day and three year charts. Now look at Blink. Here is it's five day chart and thee year chart. Going back two years ago it went from $2.00 to almost $50.00 in six months. Short sellers love this company but the love affair might come to an end when government contracts start to kick in. Then there is Chargepoint which gets a lot of attention. Yet another stock in this space is Fuelcell Energy. Last week man...

Tesla. One Day Calls On A Day the DJI Jumped Over Four Hundred Points On A Friday

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Call it window dressing. It was the last day of the first quarter of the year. I forgot how that works. Institutions sometime collectively bid up the stocks that they are invested in a last minute attempt to dust upwards their quarterly performances. Look at the one day Telsa Calls. They jumped a touch on the opening. Even after they jumped on the opening it wasn't to late to get in. Then what? At 9:54 a.m. the 200.00 series of Telsa Calls were trading at $1.14 per contract. Over seventy thousand contracts had traded. Now look at the chart of how Telsa traded on the entire day. It kept going up. Now guess what they closed at and look at the increase in the volume traded. How good is your memory? Use this tip every March 31th going forward. It might make you a couple of thousand dollars. Three final comments. 1) Tesla for now is the king of building electric vehicles. How can the small guys make money in this new industry? It's hard. 2) You can't randomly expect to pu...