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Showing posts from December, 2021

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Snowflake Part Two : Thursday Overnight Position Going Into The Final Day Of An Options Life Are Not My Cup Of Tea Unless It Is Perhaps Tesla

The 172.50 series of options on this stock will expire tomorrrow. Today is a Thursday. The first printout shows a bit of a struggle on the opening in the first nine minutes of trading and a return to price it closed at in the previous session. (It did have a nice rally on the previous day then to only give it up). Could it rally again this morning? Now the second printout below the following paragraph shows the high volume of trading pouring into this series of Calls just after the opening. These high volumes of trading shown below happened in the five minutes and twenty one seconds of the trading session. Traders bought in on a slight dip looking for a reversal. Good for them. Are these traders hoping to be out at a profit in the next fifteen or thirty minutes? Yes. Get in and get out. Catch a profit as the stock is deciding which way it will go. It's early in the morning trading session and the volume of trading is always the highest in the first and in the last hour of trading....
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Ford Calls, Domain Names and The Year 2022

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So last week when I was online I went to register a new domain name with a company I have used in the past that provides that kind of a service. I typed in the name I wanted, FordCalls.com. I got an automatic response saying that domain name was available. Did I grab it? No, for whatever reason I procrastinated - I didn't reserve it. Let's move on here to something else. Here is a "year-to-date"chart of the stock Ford. Pretty strong right? I talked late last winter about the Ford 10 Calls I bought with a one year out expiring date. The stock doubled over the year. I got out too early. Holding onto long term "in-the-money" Calls is something that is difficult to do. Try it for yourself and see what the experience feels like. Now going back the domain name registration story. So I called back the very next day to reserve the name FordCalls.com and was told it was gone. On my computer screen it said "for $125.99 plus commissions we still might be able t...
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Caterpillar. A Big Bounce.

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Both Caterpillar and Boeing can jump four dollars in one day, often on no news. They each did last week on differing days. Look at these two charts which show this morning's opening and tell me what you think. My question is if you're an option trader would an opening move downwards like this excite you? Is it premature to look at playing Call options on the upside?. Interesting charts right? It's like a bomb went off and know one know's why. Do you open a trade right now or wait for something better? They are both ugly stock charts and their both billion dollar companies. If you go the wrong way you will quickly lose money and time values will eat you away. I would say most option players would do something while keeping in mind that the bottom may not be here yet. Let's continue this story after we see what happens tomorrow. Ok, so here is the next morning. The pendulum has swung in the opposite direction on the opening. Inconsequential trades of no value you ...
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Attention Spans and Retention Abilities

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What's your attention span for reading these blogs? Most readers will decide in two or three seconds if they want to read this blog. If this blog was called "Boeing Calls" for example red flags would instantenously be raised. Most readers would have a longer attention span for blogs called Disney Calls, Mcdonald Calls or U.S. Steel Calls. Why? Well casual relationship are easilier to understand. Disney must be hurting with the covid thing, Mcdonalds still has their their drivethrough business and U.S. Steel might benefit when it gets through this rough patch of poor auto sales. People are attracted to things that might go up or down for logical reasons. If your still reading this blog I congratuate you. Many readers would have clicked off by now looking for more instant gratifications. Most option players shy away from playing Boeing Calls knowing that there are an infinite number of variables that can send it shooting up and down. I get that. I like playing o...
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Ford's Largest One Day Share Price of The Year - Or Santa Claus Came Early.

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Ok, so yesterday, a Thursday I looked at Ford because management was in the news saying they are going to stop taking more preorders on their upcoming F150 electric truck. They have too many orders. They were also saying look out world - we are going electric. V.W. and Toyota were also making similiar claims. Here is a look at Ford at 12:11 p.m. today. At noon Ford was up 5.6% and their short term options which expire today were up ten fold. Stocks the size of Ford seldom jump that much in one morning. Why didn't lightbulbs go off in my head yesterday saying lets take a flyer on Ford Call options for tomorrow with one day's trading life left in them? That would be the Dec 10th 20 Calls. As you can see, the 20 Calls this morning went from .06 or six dollars a contract to .61 or sixty one dollars a contract at noon! Then looked at how they ended up the day. A .06 or six dollar contract would be worth one hundred and forty three dollars! A six hundred dollar investment would be ...
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Mcdonald's and an Early Morning Swing.

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Look at this five day and one day chart. They sell burgers. What's so special about burgers? I got in to early however I caught some of the selloff. ++ here is an end of day reading on this series of Puts. I could of made more if I played it till the end of the day or I could have bought back in and tried to play it twice. That's something I try to avoid doing. Look at how low the volume of trading was in this option series.
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Boeing and Caterpillar on a Friday. My favorite Day of the Week for Trading.

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Omicron variant fears. What a week. Boeing down more than ten dollars in one day and then back up that much again the very next day. Why is Friday morning so special to short term options players. It's win or die. Will one of your favorite stocks shoot to the moon? The clock is ticking and with the passage time option prices change. What I want to show you is an example of how quickly things can happen. Here is a chart I saw of Caterpillar on this Friday morning, December 3th, 2021. It's about that time of the day when you start to realize it's abilities to shoot up the 200 dollars mark and over will never happen. To bad for the option traders buying the 205 Calls on Caterpillar on the opening today hoping for a ten dollar price swing. So now look at this, a cancellation of a "buy order" on Catipillar Calls 197.50 Calls at about this particular time. They were the ones going crazy. I changed my bid upwards about three times as it shot up and then gave up. It we...
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