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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...
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Ford's Largest One Day Share Price of The Year - Or Santa Claus Came Early.

Ok, so yesterday, a Thursday I looked at Ford because management was in the news saying they are going to stop taking more preorders on their upcoming F150 electric truck. They have too many orders. They were also saying look out world - we are going electric. V.W. and Toyota were also making similiar claims. Here is a look at Ford at 12:11 p.m. today.
At noon Ford was up 5.6% and their short term options which expire today were up ten fold. Stocks the size of Ford seldom jump that much in one morning. Why didn't lightbulbs go off in my head yesterday saying lets take a flyer on Ford Call options for tomorrow with one day's trading life left in them? That would be the Dec 10th 20 Calls. As you can see, the 20 Calls this morning went from .06 or six dollars a contract to .61 or sixty one dollars a contract at noon! Then looked at how they ended up the day. A .06 or six dollar contract would be worth one hundred and forty three dollars! A six hundred dollar investment would be worth fourteen thousand and forty three dollars.
Let's pause for a few seconds. I don't make this stuff up. It actually happened today. It was Ford's largest one day share price rise of the year.
Look also at how the Ford 21 Calls traded today. They are the Call options with a striking price one dollar higher. No one really expected the stock to pop another dollar after rallying on the previous day. Boy so many people were wrong. Ford exploded upwards on the opening again like it did on the previous day and shot upwards to the moon. Near the start of the day the Ford 21 series of Calls traded at .01 or one dollar. Then look at what happened! The Call options that started the day at one dollar a contract ended up the day at forty five dollars a contract! A one thousand dollar flyer with the Ford 21 Calls could have made you enough to puchase a decent new car.
Sometimes when I see old men with no hair and glasses driving shiny Mustang convertibles around town I wonder if they paid for them with their profits from playing options on Ford.

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