Featured

Tesla Options Near the Close on Friday Afternoon. Building A Case For Making A High Risk Trade.

Tesla was up 11% in the last five days. Look at it's one and five day charts. ... Now here are one series of it's Call and one series of it's Put options with only 42 minutes of trading life remaining in them. Might these Calls rebound back upwards towards the closing? Afterall the D.J.I.A. is up almost 900 points on the day and this is one of the hottest stocks all week. The 400 series of Call options at this time are "in-the-money" by $.72, and are priced at $1.88. That's a premium of $1.16 over the striking price. Imagine all of the money lost by the existing 400 series of Call option holders in the last 60 minutes! Couldn't the stock now rebound two or three dollars in the blink of an eye? It did afterall once again just drop over $5.00 a share in the last hour of trading and it now seems to be holding steady. That's the carrot now dangling in front of everyones eyes. Is it time for a quick flip? If you have made twenty or thirty option trades on ...
Post a Comment

Ford's Largest One Day Share Price of The Year - Or Santa Claus Came Early.

Ok, so yesterday, a Thursday I looked at Ford because management was in the news saying they are going to stop taking more preorders on their upcoming F150 electric truck. They have too many orders. They were also saying look out world - we are going electric. V.W. and Toyota were also making similiar claims. Here is a look at Ford at 12:11 p.m. today.
At noon Ford was up 5.6% and their short term options which expire today were up ten fold. Stocks the size of Ford seldom jump that much in one morning. Why didn't lightbulbs go off in my head yesterday saying lets take a flyer on Ford Call options for tomorrow with one day's trading life left in them? That would be the Dec 10th 20 Calls. As you can see, the 20 Calls this morning went from .06 or six dollars a contract to .61 or sixty one dollars a contract at noon! Then looked at how they ended up the day. A .06 or six dollar contract would be worth one hundred and forty three dollars! A six hundred dollar investment would be worth fourteen thousand and forty three dollars.
Let's pause for a few seconds. I don't make this stuff up. It actually happened today. It was Ford's largest one day share price rise of the year.
Look also at how the Ford 21 Calls traded today. They are the Call options with a striking price one dollar higher. No one really expected the stock to pop another dollar after rallying on the previous day. Boy so many people were wrong. Ford exploded upwards on the opening again like it did on the previous day and shot upwards to the moon. Near the start of the day the Ford 21 series of Calls traded at .01 or one dollar. Then look at what happened! The Call options that started the day at one dollar a contract ended up the day at forty five dollars a contract! A one thousand dollar flyer with the Ford 21 Calls could have made you enough to puchase a decent new car.
Sometimes when I see old men with no hair and glasses driving shiny Mustang convertibles around town I wonder if they paid for them with their profits from playing options on Ford.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

News on Polestar , Lucid (Trading After A Reverse Stock Split) Plus Ford News And Vinfast

Image
Look at the one year chart on Polester. Now it's one month chart. What's going on? It's confusing. It was down $.36 cents on the week. If you want you can spend $.20 or $.25 on Puts and hope that the company goes under in the next five or six months. They recently raised more money by releasing more shares so it's running out of options. You can't run at a loss forever and this news will most likely scare off potential new car buyers. This actually is a low number of outstanding Put options. The consensus seems to be that it is not game over yet. Lucid started trading this week on a "one-for-ten" reverse stock split. Here is its one week chart. It was down $1.39 on the week. It's also going to struggle. Both of these stocks have challenges ahead. On a more positive note here is a chart that looks kind of perky. Ford on the week. The stock was down $.03 cents on the week and it was the 3th highest in share volume trading on the NYSE. It appears...
Read more