Why Not To Buy Not Rivian Calls With Two Days to Go?

It's obvious right? If you mess up and the stock opens the wrong way you only have one day for a rebound. Why put yourself in that position? Others might be in the camp of saying why not go for a fifty percent rebound on Thurday's morning opening. The stock sold of on Wednesday on very little volume. A morning pop is possible. The stock has being strong as of late. Here is it's five day chart. Now this, the seventeen series of Calls that expires in two days. They do look cheap after hitting a high of $1.55 on the day. If we look at a 30 day chart we will see that the stock is still in an uptrend. Why not look at the Call options one and two weeks out? Here are the seventeen series of Calls one and two weeks out They would be much safer to play and I will check in on these ones at a later date. So what happened on the Thursday opening? Let's switch gears for a moment and look at how Roku, a much higher priced stock opened and look at how their Call options moved.

The Topic of The Decimination of Good News

Aurina Pharmecetical Inc. I have talked about this one before. It has a Canadian history. Here is the news on it late last Friday in the last few miutes of trading and here is how the stock reacted. It closed the trading session at $28.00.
Today is Monday Oct.25th and my comments are after the fact comments. I have being playing this stock for years as have some of my friends. I missed the news of this happening when it happened. What a day of the week and what a time of the day for such an announcement of that magnitude! Retail Call option holders have to be out of their Call option positions that expire on a Friday by 3:00 p.m. or they run the risk of their brokerage houses selling them out. Option trading desks play by different rules. Image all the then "just-out-of-the money" Call positions, the 26, 27, 28 calls that would be trading for .03, or 04 or .05 cents a contract around 3:35 or 3:45 p.m. on that Friday. Suddenly they would be worth 100 or 200 or 300 hundred fold in just a matter of minutes. Million of dollars in profits could have being realized by insiders. (** Aurina options do not expire every Friday. They expire once every month. I believe the Oct22th was the end of a month cycle for Aurina options. The next ones expire Nov 19th 2012, however I am not 100% sure. Can anyone help me out with this?). The decimination of news is what I now want to talk about. The system and the people that have inside knowledge are sometimes given the opportunity to abuse these trading platforms for their own gains. Had the company waited until just after the markets closed to release their news they could have prevented much of this potential abuse. Or worst yet, they wanted this to happen to further line their pockets. It's all so unfair. Surely there were insiders who knew this takeover news was soon to be released and who jumped in and potentially made millions of dollars. That kind of trading unfortuanately sometimes happens and it's difficult to regulate. However in this situation it goes well beyond that. Traders with inside knowledge would have being able to buy in just after 3:30 p.m. knowing that the "out-of the-money" call options which once again would then have cost only pennies were about to explode in price in a matter of twenty minutes on this news.That is when these options were expiring! That is not fair pool. Many people in the past have lost money on this stock, particularly when it once did did a reverse stock split. The trading history of this stock has not being kind to many investors with many new rounds of additional financings. Aurina Pharmecetical should have released the news after the markets closed on the Friday or before the markets opened today on a Monday. (That is if they cared about corporate protocol). If they did the existing Call holders would be holding positions which were more expensive because a portion of their cost would have being for the time value part of the equasion. They wouldn't then have then made as much. What does it mean when a company suddenly becomes a takeover target? What also does in mean when it says that the new buyer is not necessarily obligated to do the deal? How much weight do you put on that statement? In the really big picture it could mean that talks are well on there way. Yet another new factor may come into play. Option players will now be making judgement calls on the next series of Call options, the Nov 19th Call options. Why? Well it still may not be to late to come to the party. Might Bristol Myers decide to raise their offer or might other pharmecetical companies decide also to make a run at it and offer more money? Speculators are attracted to price movements and the November 19th Calls would give them a fair amount of time if they thought the price might still go higher? Others might decide both the Calls and Puts are worth selling, in the hopes of the action on this stock dying down and the hopes of this stock staying in this price range.Let the games begin. ** to read previous blogs scroll to the upper left and follow the curser.


Popular posts from this blog

I Wonder How The Back Office Is Going To Handle My Complaint

Disney Had A Good Week, Fisker Not So Much . Lion Electric and Taiga

Boeing Down $20.00 or 8.03% On A Monday Morning