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Eli Lilly

When a stock drops over $50.00 in the first three hours on trading one a day and when the DJIA index is up can you play it for a one or two day partial rebound? $9.00 or nine hundred dollars gets you in. That's the question now being asked and based on the number of new Call contracts being purchased the answer is probably no. As of 11:50 a.m. I can't find any news to explain this drop. Now this, if you just came off a morning gain from trading Tesla Calls, see my last blog might you be willing to part with some of these winnings? This could be another short term opportunity given that the D.J.I.A is so strong. Lets check out the action in thirty minutes. The stock is up $3.81 and the Call options went from $9.00 to $11.80 in thirty minutes. Take the money and run. Very few traders are speculating in this series of Calls. In situations like this a second shoe could drop at any minute.
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Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart.
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The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster.
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The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell us? It tells us option traders in general stay away from trading the "release of earning reports" on Caterpillar.
Now the one week out Call options.
Low open interest, a low volume of trading and relatively big pricings considering the these are only slightly "in-the-money" Calls which might take a few seeks to gain value. The bottom line is that this stock really got beat up and going forward it's going to be again upward journey. It helps that they are buying back their own shares. ** Now a look at how Caterpillar traded at the close on Monday April 29th.
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The volume of Calls traded is very light. That's suprising.

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