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The Trap On Costco With One Day To Go "Call" Options

Let's start by saying it's 3:00 p.m. on Thursday and I am going to talk about the big sell off that Costco experienced this morning on news that seemed to take some time to be disceminated. It turned out to be regular stuff kind of news on the subject matter of last month's food sales. In the early few minutes of trading the average retail trader had no knowledge of what this news was all about. Opening markets started falling quickly. That sometimes happens. Let's move forward to 3:03 p.m.. Costco is way down in price $28.00. That's a big chunk. Might it's Call options rebound tomorrow? I don't usually find these "looking-for-a-rebound" situations to be very profitable. Might there be a second wave of opening selling pressure on the opening tomorrow?. That's the worry. Now there is more to the story that option traders might want to hear. It has to do with what happened this morning. Costco had a great fall. Look at this morning chart. It l...
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Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart.
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The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster.
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The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell us? It tells us option traders in general stay away from trading the "release of earning reports" on Caterpillar.
Now the one week out Call options.
Low open interest, a low volume of trading and relatively big pricings considering the these are only slightly "in-the-money" Calls which might take a few seeks to gain value. The bottom line is that this stock really got beat up and going forward it's going to be again upward journey. It helps that they are buying back their own shares. ** Now a look at how Caterpillar traded at the close on Monday April 29th.
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The volume of Calls traded is very light. That's suprising.

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