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One Day Puts On The Stock Eli Lilly At 2.31: p.m. On A Thursday Afternoon

The DJIA is up something like 850 points on the day. Eli Lilly has jumped $50.00 on the day. Happy days are here again. If the markets cool on the opening tomorrow (Friday) could the stock give up some of these gains? If so what would these Puts do? Might the stock give up 25% of what it gained today? Now it's five day and one day chart. $850.00 for a Put on a stock that has jumped up over $50.00 in one day. It's a Put that expires tomorrow. Is this a recipe for failure? At 2:42.00 p.m. the DJIA is up 899 points. Now the action at 2:47:00 p.m. Now this. In at 2:31 p.m. if you like at $850.00 and out 38 minutes later at $1,100.00. That's a gain of $250.00 and all you did was skim a small gain off a hot market. Maybe that could be your trade of the day to avoid all of aggrevations of what might happen next. It would be catching the tail end of a 950 point one day rally. That in itself is not a bad strategy. Now a 3:30 p.m. update. Another small gain. Let's see what ...
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Caterpillar - It's First Quarter Earnings Report And Traders Are Staying Away. A Read Which Might Be A Good Reference Point Going Forward.

Boeing rallied yesterday on the release of it's earnings report only then to tank. Caterpillar is tanking this morning in the premarkets. Let's begin with it's 5 day and 30 day chart.
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The world needs to be rebuilt and Caterpillar is there to help. It's growing, it's got a good reputation, it's not laying off employees and it's doing just fine. If it misses a beat on it's earnings report so what? Life goes on. Then there are those pesky analyst who are known to offer a convoluted spin on things. If you like Caterpillar just buy it on the dips and put it away. So the markets will be opening on the commentary by the companies C.E.O of "sales about flat". Phrasing it that way is a recipe for short term disaster.
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The two printouts above show some of the early morning action in one Put series and in One Call series. What happened the next day? A slight rebound with next to no traders trying to capitalize on a rebound. What does this tell us? It tells us option traders in general stay away from trading the "release of earning reports" on Caterpillar.
Now the one week out Call options.
Low open interest, a low volume of trading and relatively big pricings considering the these are only slightly "in-the-money" Calls which might take a few seeks to gain value. The bottom line is that this stock really got beat up and going forward it's going to be again upward journey. It helps that they are buying back their own shares. ** Now a look at how Caterpillar traded at the close on Monday April 29th.
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The volume of Calls traded is very light. That's suprising.

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