Deere On Earnings

Here is a look at Deere towards the end of the afternoon after an earnings report. It got beat up pretty bad. What we are now looking at is a printout of one option series which will be expiring the next day were trading towards the end of the trading session. Would now be a good time to buy into these 395 Calls and try to play tomorrow's upside? Lets look at how these options traded the next day. Can you see they hit a high of $4.65 sometime during the following day? I did two very small trades on the Friday morning bounce back. I just wanted to cover my commissions a make a touch. Remember Deere options are extremely difficult to play and with only hours to go before they expire its not bad to take a profit whenever you see one. .................. My times in were 10:14 to 10:31 a.m. and 10:59 to 11.09 a.m. I missed the elusive high of $4.65 which happened after I got out. Part Two. Going forward. Let's look at Deere's five day chart and look at how the 400 series o

Boeing Is A Strange Animal

Last week I got caught in the mud following Boeing all week. It basically went sideways and ended up being the 17th most activity traded stock on the NYSE "Most Active List" by dollar volume and up .27 cents on the week. The Dow rose only 3 points on the week. Here now is how the Boeing 170 Call options started this week, twenty minutes into the trading action.
Here now on Wednesday April 24th is a look at it's most recent five day chart.
So here is the thing. The 170 Calls closed Tuesday (yesterday) at $4.75 with the "open interest" numbers going up.
Yes the stock has swings but who wants to shell out that much money for an "out-of-the-money" Call option with only three days trading life left in them? Compare this to my last blog on Lowe's where the chart screamed the stock was going up. I am including that chart again. Yesterday as shown in the chart the stock went up and the option series I illustrated doubled in one day.
Now this. Why are the Call premiums so expensive? Well the answer is that Boeing has an earnings report coming out before the markets open this morning. Call option players were paying a touch of a premium for the right to be participating in this action. My initial comments about being frustrated with the high cost of these options totally ignored this reality. Now this report.
Slowing down production to improve quality. That's a damage control statement which helps to pacify the relentless criticism they have had to contend with as of late. All that said, here is how the Call options are trading shortly after the opening today.
It will be interesting to observe at the end of the day if the "open interest" numbers subside. To be continued. Now here they are as of 11:25 a.m.
Now look at the end of the day chart and how the markets closed.
Now look at how the 170 Calls closed the day.
$4.75 to $8.05 to $.38 cents. What to make of all this? Let's back up for a second. Last week I posted a blog on April 15th which followed the 170 Boeing Calls for the week. During that week the 170 Calls closed at $2.70 on Monday, $2.80 on Tuesday, $1.95 on Wednesday, $1.45 on Thursday and $.10 cents on Friday with Boeing closing the week at $169.82 on Friday. So much for the strategy of purchasing Call options which expire slightly in advance of earning releases. Why did Boeing rally on the opening today? Pent up optimism gone array? Store this blog away somewhere in your mind. Tomorrow Caterpillar has their quarterly earning report coming out.The next morning. Caterpillar got smashed,see my next blog. Boeing went down again in sympathy.


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