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Tesla and Deere Going into a Thursday Morning.

Are you able to remember my blog last Friday talking about Tesla dropping $19.00 in one day and it's Puts jumping up a zillion dolllars? Here are the closing numbers on Tesla and Deere today, Wednesday September 11th. They are difficult to read but Tesla closed at $228.13 and Deere at $388.59 Now look at the sightly "out-of-the-money" Calls on both of these two stocks which expire at the end of the week. Now the Deere Calls. .................. Now look at their one day charts. Remember I have repeatedly said that Wednesdays ( in the context of trading one week options) are the best days of the week for turnarounds situations. Look at the one day charts and look at the gains on the day that both of these option series had. They both took off on the upside after a morning dip. I will continue to track the movement of these two series of Calls over the next two days but the context of this blog is a blog in itself. Wednesday once again can be turn around days. Happy tr

Biogen - A Tough Cookie to Play

Drug stocks are difficult to play. One year ago to this date Biogen was trading at $292.20. Today its at $193.61. That's down almost $100.00 on the year.
Now look at it's three year chart.
Back on May 11th 2022 the stock dipped down to $191.07. So the question now is will that now be a support level? That could be something to watch. How do you play options on a stock which has dropped for a year or more? You can't really. The system, for lack of better words has a built in defense mechanism. Let me try to explain it this way. Yes I think a rebound might be imminent for technical reasons however there are barriers to entry. Look for example at how expensive the one month out Calls are.
A May Call contract (one month out) slightly above the current asking price is $8.00 a contract. When was the last time this stock ever went up $8.00 in one month? Well there was one $10.71 bounce between March 6th 2024 and March 12th 2024 so in theory anything could happen. Yet having said that, it's still a crazy price to pay and a risk much to high to take. Now let's look at these Call options that will expire in three days.
Note only 15 contracts traded on the day and an open interest of only 9 contracts. What's more, the spread between the bid and ask is high making it more difficult to trade. What this tells us is that traders don't see any value in trying to navigate in these waters during periods like this. It will be interesting to look back at this blog in one months time to see how this situation played itself out.* Here we are now in July, some three months out. So what happened?
The stock did find a support level. It's still ti difficult to play.

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