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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...

Next On The List For Kicks Upwards After an Earnings Report Comes Out. Ford

Look at this. A five day chart on Ford showing a one dollar bounce on the release of their earnings report.
When earnings come out stocks and options will jump. Catching a one dollar price swing on a twelve dollar stock for option players can be huge. Apparently their earnings were better than expected, however the yardsticks used to measure success can sometimes be short sighted. Sales were up, that seems to be for the short term the most important thing. Ford has however lost market share over the last few years.
Here is a mid afternoon look at how one series of Call options look. It only really shows part of the action.
One point is that you could have been waiting for this opportunity. The second point is that watching a ten dollar stock is not as exciting as watching a $600.00 stock like Eli Lilly. A run of recent good earnimg reports has caught many option traders sleeping. Ford options plays on their "earning-report-releases" are a staple to come back to time and time again, for many option players.

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