Featured

This One Is Too Nervous To Watch. Pfizer

This is a short blog full of twists. Try to get through it. First a five day chart of Pfizer. chart. In the past week it was up $1.05 and it was the 7th most activity traded stock on the NYSE most active list. It's in a breakout mode. Look at how it traded over the last three years. This breakout mode might last a few days, weeks or months. This stock has a history of moving somewhat slower than most stocks. A second quarter earnings report comes out July 30th. If it's good that could add a touch to the stock's price. Now this. As a general rule stocks and options on stocks in this particular price range are difficult to play and in this case everyone is following the same story. Fred down the street and John around the corner and Mark across town are all dialed into the same commentary. There is nothing that really gives you an edge when it comes to playing it. That's the problem. Here now is a look at the Pfizer "next-week-out" $30.00 series of Call optio
Post a Comment

Ford. Pick Your Battle

It's down on a Wednesday and here is some recently released news.
Now here is it's five day chart.
So it's around the 2:45p.m. on Wednesday and not much is happening with the stock. Recently the option chain link was changed. Say goodbye to the 12 series of options, the 12.5 series of Calls and the likes of numbers like that. Now they are the 11.82 series, the 12.32 series ,the 12.82 series.... Why the change? It could be said that stocks are more likely to close closer to numbers like 12.00 or 12.50 so that could be part of the reason why. So hear is a printout of where the 11.82 and 12.32 series of Calls are now trading.
What are two reasons why I like these Calls? The first is that they could rebound on the closing today or on the opening tomorrow without the time value left in them becoming a big issue. The second reason is that there are more outstanding open Calls on the slightly higher and now "out-of-the money" Calls. To be more exact there are 2,646 contracts open on the 11.82 series and 17,507 contracts open on the 12.32 series. What different does that make you might ask? It will be in the best interest of the option makers to try and close the stock on Friday below the 12.32 price point. That will burn more option holders. Disney is also a stock now in this situation. Last week it popped up to over $110.00 a share, for the first time in a long time and now it has retreated about $2.00 per share in the last few days leaving a large number of Call holders holding the bag on $110.00 Calls. That was the series most actively traded last week. The overhanging number of open Call option positions may be something to consider the next time you are looking at Call options like this with only two days to go. Now here how it closed the day.
To be continued. But wait. Everything looked great in the premarkets.
Then the opening. Yes you could have picked a price and tried to get a fill. Then the opening. Ford dropped, meaning the pain and suffering of waiting for a rebound.
Now this,thirteen minutes later.
Now it's 9:54 a.m. and here is what the chart now looks like. That's the kind of strenght you should be selling into.
.....
They hit a high of .43 dollars and here is how they closed the day.
If you are in Canada and you have to pay crazy high commissions on these low priced contracts you have to buy like 50 or 100 contracts to make any money. The end.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

I Wonder How The Back Office Is Going To Handle My Complaint

Image
The blog is about dealing with the back office of the brokerage company I trade with. This story happened today. Todays trading session has closed and I just made a telephone call to them just after the market closed to voice a complaint over how I feel I got short changed. Here are my background notes. 1) It involves trading the 370 Boeing Puts that expire at the end of this week. I bought in at 10:08:34 a.m. and sold out at 2:59:38 p.m. I was stuck in this position longer than I had hoped. I got lucky and did O.K., however that is not the point. 2) Here are my two "in-and-out" tickets. Two contracts in at 10:08 a.m. at $163.00 each and two contracts out then "at-market" for $365.00 each at 2:59.38 p.m. Now here is Boeing's one day chart. It dropped precipitously from 2:59:00 p.m.to 3:00:p.m. I just happened to be watching it at the exact time of the crash. That's when news came out that the "FAA opens Now a Boeing Inquiry over 787 inspections"
Read more

Boeing Down $20.00 or 8.03% On A Monday Morning

Image
Don't buy in, it's going to be a struggle.There is going to be too much guessing in-the-air in the near term. What happened? A door hinge problem or something. I am suprised with the millions of miles their planes fly filled with with all kinds of heavy things they don't loose wheels, wings and windshields. $400.00 dollars will now buy you a option contract on a 230 Call which will expire this Friday. That means the stock will have to rebound $5.00 just to get your money back. It might however there is nothing tangable to say it will. I don't like those kind of trades. So many pundents will now be commenting on what has now happened until we are tired of hearing about it. Let's just watch the action and see what happens. Now here is what happened on the next day. Can you see how these options have now dropped half price? That's what I wanted to avoid. Now is it time to try and rethink this position? If your still thinking about the upside it's still a high
Read more

Disney Had A Good Week, Fisker Not So Much . Lion Electric and Taiga

Image
First, it's one week chart. Here is one of the reasons why it is up. India is a marketplace with 750 million potential viewers! I have talked about Disney in some of my most recent blogs. Short term Call options on it did well this week as they did two weeks ago. So one question is - "How can you anticipate action like this?" Well it helps when the stock is in a general uptread. Here is it's three month chart. India is not the easiest country in the world to do business with. Starbucks went there in 2012 and now over ten years later it has only 390 stores. Ford pulled out in 2021 after starting to build cars there in 1926. The number of Domino Pizza stores is growing. I admit that this isn't an exhaustive analysis but my point is we should not expect this Disney news to rocket the stock to the moon. It did however create a profitable trading experience for option traders for a couple of days. Buying in on news as it is being disseminating is often a recipe fo
Read more