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Trying to Outguess The Markets

A few years back the markets crashed when Russia invaded Ukraine. The front pages of newspapers around the world at that time showed people trying to escape cities which were heavily shelled. Our heart's sank. How could such atrocities be happening? Why were schools and hospitals targeted? War is evil. Guess what? With Trump acting as a new dictator the world once again has gone awry. It's scary that one old man with so much power can abuse the system. What does all of this mean for option traders? It means time to sit on the sidelines. Yes you can jump in playing rebounds and catch some nice short term directional moves. You are basically trading against computers. Why not just sit it out and chill? Everything is amuck. Why be trying to make hero trades? Ironically enough some traders are being drawn into this action. Look at this chart. While its difficult to see because of a "pop-up" on the screen "Netflix rebounded over ten dollars a share after reboundin...
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Fun With Charts - Deere and Two Days To Go.

Here is it's five day chart Thursday morning at 10:00 a.m.. What a "see-saw". Now here is where the Calls and Puts on it that expire tomorrow are trading.
Now the Puts.
Here now is what the markets are doing.
So how do you play it? The DJI did drop over 300 points yesterday and Deere surived the day relatively unscathed. Well one comment I would like to make is that both of these series of options are cheap, thanks in part to it's the range bound chart formation. Yet the stock could explode up or down so this is one of those rare situations were buying one or more than one of each of them might be the way to go. Let's see what happens. An 11:00 a.m. update. The Calls and Puts.
Look at the spread between the bid and ask? Option makers know that when Deere starts to tank it tends to move quickly.The Puts turned out to be the real winners had you opted to play the downside.
Now look at how Deere closed out the day. First the five day chart.
Here are how the markets closed.
Deere really did nothing in a strong day. So now what? What's going to happen tommorow? It's earning report is not happening unit the 15th of this month. The Friday morning opening. Here is what happened.
Now here is how Deere closed out the day.
Now here is some information about at past Deere blog.
What do you think will happen with it's earnings report in a few weeks?

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