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Fresh Eyes on Deere

Let's start at noon on Monday August 26th. In previous blogs I have mentioned how low the volume of option playing is on this stock. Why is that? Well one of the reasons is that the company is light on new releases and anyone trying to analyze the company should do so with a longer term prospective. It's not like tracking Boeing which seems to have a thousand moving parts and near daily stories of what just happened the day before. That's why I have sometimes said Deere makes directional thirty day moves and it is easier capital on options that are one month out, rather than one week out. That said, here is it's thirty day chart. August 10th was the time to be getting in on it's Calls. It's path forward now is less clear. That said, let's now start this blog with its five day chart. It's flat on the day after being higher on the opening. ........ One thought. It could rebound a couple of dollars before the end of the day. Here now is how it closed
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Fun With Charts - Deere and Two Days To Go.

Here is it's five day chart Thursday morning at 10:00 a.m.. What a "see-saw". Now here is where the Calls and Puts on it that expire tomorrow are trading.
Now the Puts.
Here now is what the markets are doing.
So how do you play it? The DJI did drop over 300 points yesterday and Deere surived the day relatively unscathed. Well one comment I would like to make is that both of these series of options are cheap, thanks in part to it's the range bound chart formation. Yet the stock could explode up or down so this is one of those rare situations were buying one or more than one of each of them might be the way to go. Let's see what happens. An 11:00 a.m. update. The Calls and Puts.
Look at the spread between the bid and ask? Option makers know that when Deere starts to tank it tends to move quickly.The Puts turned out to be the real winners had you opted to play the downside.
Now look at how Deere closed out the day. First the five day chart.
Here are how the markets closed.
Deere really did nothing in a strong day. So now what? What's going to happen tommorow? It's earning report is not happening unit the 15th of this month. The Friday morning opening. Here is what happened.
Now here is how Deere closed out the day.
Now here is some information about at past Deere blog.
What do you think will happen with it's earnings report in a few weeks?

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