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What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Fun With Charts - Deere and Two Days To Go.

Here is it's five day chart Thursday morning at 10:00 a.m.. What a "see-saw". Now here is where the Calls and Puts on it that expire tomorrow are trading.
Now the Puts.
Here now is what the markets are doing.
So how do you play it? The DJI did drop over 300 points yesterday and Deere surived the day relatively unscathed. Well one comment I would like to make is that both of these series of options are cheap, thanks in part to it's the range bound chart formation. Yet the stock could explode up or down so this is one of those rare situations were buying one or more than one of each of them might be the way to go. Let's see what happens. An 11:00 a.m. update. The Calls and Puts.
Look at the spread between the bid and ask? Option makers know that when Deere starts to tank it tends to move quickly.The Puts turned out to be the real winners had you opted to play the downside.
Now look at how Deere closed out the day. First the five day chart.
Here are how the markets closed.
Deere really did nothing in a strong day. So now what? What's going to happen tommorow? It's earning report is not happening unit the 15th of this month. The Friday morning opening. Here is what happened.
Now here is how Deere closed out the day.
Now here is some information about at past Deere blog.
What do you think will happen with it's earnings report in a few weeks?

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