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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...

Could You Play Disney Calls Last Friday After The Stock Jumped, Hoping For Another Bounce On Friday Morning ?

Here is how Disney traded on Thursday. It has been a dog of a stock for years for a hundred different reasons. It also has a hundred different moving parts which when dissected could unleach value. It could be a $200.00 stock by this time next year. So after looking at this chart do you think and second wave of buying might be in the cards on it's Friday morning opening? Would buying Calls be wise, Calls that expire the very next day?
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Can you see how the $110 Calls closed at $1.21 on Thursday after a wild ride all that day. Notice the closing "open interest". It's less than ten percent of the volume of the daily trading volume. That tells us that most of the traders don't want to take the risk to be in the game. Would you expect a Friday morning pop and would the $110.00 series be the one's to play? Here is the answer. First the chart of Friday's trading.
Now here is what the $110.00 Calls did on the day.
If you think next weeks Calls are more promising here is how they closed out the day on Friday. It's something to think about. The 30 day out Calls or longer might be better.
Disney was up smartly on the week. Do your research as to why.** A late Monday morning update, Feb 12th. Would you have the guts to hold onto your Call option over the weekend hoping for a second way of buying power to come in?
The options more than doubled.

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