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Rivian. History Repeats Itself

Back on June 26th 2024 I posted a blog about V.W. injecting $5 billion dollars in Rivian. That's a fair chunk of money. Here are two clips borrowed from that blog. .... Rivian jumped on that news. It now has a future. Now look directly below at how it traded two days later. The good news from this event quickly dissipated. Now guess what? Look at what happened this week. There was a Rivian "good news" event again. Now here is how the stock performed this week on this news. Jumping into buying Puts on this news with two days of life left in them would have been the way to play it. Here is how two series of Rivian Puts traded on Friday. (For interest sake only, here is Rivian's three year chart. It has it's ups and downs). For the most part, Rivian is not a fun stock to play options on. That's a comment I often make about playing stocks in the $15.00 range. **** History doesn't repeat itself when it comes to where our readership is coming from. This i...
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Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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