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Exxon Again

It's five day chart as of a Tuesday evening. It closed the previous day at $116.69 and spiked on the opening. That was the best opening in days. A near double in price for sure on short term Call options. The same kind of morning spike happened two days earlier. Can I teach anyone to play Exxon options? Not really. All I can say is that Exxon moves independently from the DJIA index and option price swings are large. Here is how the 116 Calls and the 117 Calls did on the day. Up 94% and 85% respectively. All I can say is learn to pick your battles and if pick correctly, expect to be rewarded. Exxon as a trding vehicle is not going to go away.

Harley-Davidson

First, I am not a big fan of playing options on stocks in the thirty and forty dollar range. It's not like speculating in Boeing or Caterpillar Calls and Puts with these stocks swinging up or down two or three dollars nearly everyday. Harley Davidson is a thirty five dollar stock. Look at how it is trading so poorly on the good earnings news back at the end of April.
Now here is some of this news.
All the good news was wiped out by the forecasting of a bit of a slowdown in the second half of this year. Investors who bought in early this year when the stock was trading over fifteen dollars higher who correctly anticipcated this surge of earnings must now feel so frustrated. Where are their rewards? Now look below and see where the January 37 Calls are trading at. If the stock gets above forty you would be in luck. That would buy you their next two earnings reports. By then management might see their business in a more favourable light. Yet the chart looks ugly and there doesn't seem to be a support level.* With most option positions "time value" works against you. When you purchase eight months of time and your reasonings for buying in turn out to be correct the time value can become your friend. It is however still a scary position to be considering.

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