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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

A Friday Rally

It happened. Telsa jumped on a Friday which is something remenicent of what it would do back in 2020. Here is an extreme example of how an "out-of-the-money" Call option jumped from obscurity to being worth lots of money at one point during the trading session on Friday..
There was a little bit of chatter about how Telsa raised some of their prices modestly this week and then the D.J.I. jumped over 500 points on Friday. So here now is where this blog gets a touch tangential. On the close on Thursday this Call option was eight dollars and eighty cents "out-of-the-money" and closed at $.10 or ten dollars a contract. Who would be stupid enough to be spending money on this type of a contract which would expire the next day with the probabities of a payoff being so negligibly small? Or are they? Sometimes when I see people driving new shiny Mustang convertables I wonder if they got them by purchasing Ford Calls on a Thursday with one day to go for $2,000 and selling them for $30,000 the next day after the stock jumped. With a Friday pop it happens more often than you might think. So Telsa jumped $8.86 on the day. Look once again at it's five day chart. Can you see how on Wednesday and Thursday it was trading in the $165.00 range? Given where it once was, wouldn't there be a good chance of a quick rebound of three or four or five dollar on Friday morning? If it did, then the ten dollar Call options would at least double or even triple in price. In this case these Calls dropped from ten dollars per contract down to one dollar a contract just after the opening before rebounding back up to a high of 83 dollars. On a different note, here now is how the 165 Telsa Calls did on the day and the Ford Calls.
Fridays with 500 point rallies are days to be savoured. * Shopify Calls were the lucky ones this week.

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