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Caravan On A Monday Opening Rally

Let's start with the action on Carvana back at the start of the week. Here is it's mid afternoon chart on Monday. The stock is up $23.00 on the day! When you see stocks move up like this you sometimes wonder why there isn't more profit taking at the end of the trading session. . Now let's jump forward to Wednesday afternoon with tomorrow being a holiday. Carvana is up. How much? Well about $28.00 more dollars in two days! The word on the street is that their main competitor "Carmax" is in trouble. Here it how it has traded in the last thirty days. It had a bit of a dip but seems to be coming back. Avis Budget Group, also shown below the same thing. Hertz in the last three months has also struggled. So back now to Carvana. It's on fire this week. Buying Puts now that expire on Friday would be kind of dumb. Yet then again the stock could swing $20.00 or more in only a few hours! It's a bet on catching the right directon. Now here is a wildcard facto...
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Ford Earnings - This Game Repeats Itself Four Times A Year

They should be up right? Supply issues are getting better and their electric trucks are coming. Ford released their earning report yesterday after the close and they were good.
A 20% increase is a decent increase. The stock should rally on that news, right? But wait. Remember in a blog a few days ago how Caterpillar tanked on the morning after a great earnings release? To refresh your memory here is what that chart looked like.
. The Ford stock trades in an interesting price range. Price swings of fifty cents on a twelve dollar stock can send option prices into a tisy. So here is what happened. Remember earnings came out after the closing bell yesterday on May 2nd.
The stock surged Monday morning up to $12.25 and that was the time to be selling out of the Calls bought on the previous Friday. Now let me digress for a moment. G.M. had an earnings release on April 25th and their profit were up substantially. This helps support the thesis that the automobile industry is on a month to month rebound. Buying Ford Calls last Friday would have being a smart calcuated risk. Look at the chart once again. Do you notice a surge in the last few minutes of trade of share buying in Ford at the close yesterday just before the earnings came out? New players were coming to the party hoping for a positive reaction to the release of this news. Here is how they made out. The stock did pop on the opening. Here is how the stock traded in the first twenty minutes of trading. Profits in the Calls happened.
One closing note. Look at this chart on Ford a few weeks back.
Playing options on Ford isn't always a walk in the park.

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