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Boeing "Near-To-The-Money" Options Baffles Me On A Friday Morning.

After a four day period of intense price changes for the stock Boeing on Friday morning presents itself as trading in a sea of calm. It's trading flat. Here is it's daily price swings over the previous four days. $5.50, $4:10, $6.00 and $5.40. One has to wonder whether or not these large daily price movements are somehow formulated into providing the Friday morning's "bids and ask". They should be. The reason I mention this is that the Friday morning's "bids and ask" in the first few hours of trading look particularly inexpensive to me. Is it because there are no scheduled press happening that day? .. Now a 12:33 p.m. look. .......... Now this at the end of the trading session. At 3:00 p.m., the time these options expired the stock was trading at $234.27. That in turn caused the 232.50 series of Calls to be worth just under $1.00 a contract and the Puts worthless. The rally in the stock's price near the end of the day only modestly helped ra...
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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