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Exxon And Tesla One Week Options

Exxon's five day chart is obviously going in one direction. Last Friday was a strong day for the markets and Exxon jumped up even more. Here we are now on a Monday morning and this week's Call and Put options are priced equally. Which one is going to win? As usual, there is more interest in the Calls than in the Puts. Let's also look at what might happen with Tesla this week. Oct 10th is now touted as being a "make or break day" for Tesla as it will be their "Robo-Taxi-Day". I am not a big fan of trying to play Tesla options with one week to go because their premiums are so expensive. As for Exxon, I would be more inclined to follow the direction of it's recent trend. Let's watch and see what happens. To be continued. 1) Obsevation #1 on a Monday morning. Look at this. Early into the morning trading the Puts have dropped down from the $1.80 level. Can you see how tight the "bids" and "asks" are. This helps to make them pl
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LiveWire

My last blog was about Harley Davidson and what I didn't bring into the conservation was their spin off business which is building electric motorcycles. To be honest these bikes are not getting rave reviews. Two complaints are their crippling range and the possible issue of them being more dangerous to drive because they are so quiet. There is also competion from abroad. Last quarter they built only 63 of them and that experience is part of the company expecting to incur a loss of over $115 million this year. If you do the math each bike built cost them over $200,00.00. A $115 million dollar loss vs a profit of $1.3 billion for Harley Davidison. That loss makes a small dent in the overall big picture and in the process of getting going they used other people's money. Nursing this project to life from a business point of view has merit. Covid didn't help anything. LiveWire has to go slow until the product itself evolves to a level they feel proud to put their name on. Investors know this companies pedigree. See it's chart and read this.
Now go back to the previous blog on Harley Davidson. Put this puzzle together anyway you want. Forcasting of 750 units on the low end is still a three fold increase in production levels from where they are at now. Could they turn to be profitable in the next 1,000 days? Maybe. Yes there are options on LiveWire. Here are the Oct20th/2024 Calls with a striking price of 7.5 and 10 dollars. That's as far out as you can go and no one is trying to play them. The bids and asks are to far apart.
Keep in mind the company will continue to lose money all year. What a muddle. There are easlier games to play.

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