What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Deere and Company and a Bounce On Earnings

Deere bounced on Friday on earning reports. On Thursday the stock closed at $372.27 and the 370 Calls which expired the next day closed at $875.00 That's kind of rich, right? Now here is what happened.
Now the 370 Call option series.
Remember that the 370 Calls closed at $875.00 the previous day. Look at how they jumped to just over $22.00 on the opening bell. Over a double on your money. Profit takers then came in to drive the price down as this was expected news. Some traders play options like this. Others do spreads, where they will sell an "out-of-the money" Call and an "out-of-the-money" Put that expire in one day on Deere at the same time and hope they both expire worthless. More about that knd of trading at a later date.


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