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Caterpillar - An Earning Report

It was stronger than expected. In a blog I did last week on April 24th here is how the 830 series of Calls were trading that day. The open interest and volume of trading in the Calls at that time was next to nothing. Here is how they traded today on their earnings report news. They more than tripled in price in one day. Only 29 contracts traded on the day! Traders were afraid to shell out the large amount of cash $2,771.00 to be exact, to be in the game. That's just to much money. The return was $7,235.00. That is more than a double. Was I wrong for not recommending them as a purchase? I was saying that Caterpillar was trading at lofty levels and I followed the Puts instead which ended up going sideways for a few days. There is always a bit of nervousness just before earning releases. The game with Caterpillar will continue. Now this. It now looks like it's going to go to $900.00 or even $1,000.00 per share.
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Toyota

Very few option contracts trade on Toyota. I have wondered why and offer one potential explanation. It's listed on multiple exchanges around the world and "option makers" in North America are basically just following the action. If the markets open stronger in North America that means Toyota traded stronger overnight on markets overseas. Secondly, the Calls and Puts trade in incriments of five dollars.There are for example 135 Calls, 140 Calls, 145 Calls. Having a five dollar spread wipes out the incentive try to daytrade option series which are soon to expire. If the stock moves from 142 to 143 the "bids and asks" on a 140 series of Calls might hardly change. It's not like trading the stock like Boeing where you can get in and out with option series set up in increments of $2.50 . Here is it's one month charts. The company now has a new C.E.O who is getting criticized for not moving to go electric quickly enough.
What I am now about to show you might discredit some of my above points. It's a five day chart on Toyota and look how all the action seems to happen on the opening. Why? It's the effect of overnight trading on other markets. Our North American trading follows Toyota's overseas market trading.
Now back to my point of how contracts trade. A volume of three and twelve contracts in the 140 Calls and Puts series that expire soon. Look at how wide apart the "bids and asks" are and how low the outstanding number of open contracts are. It's crazy.
Toyota is a great company. It's just not one that attracts option players.

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