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Why It's Difficult To Play Options With Four Trading Days Left In Them.

The premiums are to expensive. Here is what I mean. Look first at Nvidia. Now look at the price of it's end of week Calls and Puts. Do you see the prices of $7.14 and $720.00? Those are both crazy high numbers. If we look at Walmart it's the very same story. Super expensive Calls and Puts if we are looking four days out. Suprising Exxon with a much more interesting five day chart have options that look somewhat reasonably priced. Look at how few Exxon Puts there are outstanding compared to the Calls. Few traders see any positive Middle East developments. Now consider how this narrative is so much different than the one day action I talked about yesterday on Nvidia's last day to expiring options. One day options offer so much more action. Let's revisit this blog over the next few days or so to add more commentary to this story.
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Toyota

Very few option contracts trade on Toyota. I have wondered why and offer one potential explanation. It's listed on multiple exchanges around the world and "option makers" in North America are basically just following the action. If the markets open stronger in North America that means Toyota traded stronger overnight on markets overseas. Secondly, the Calls and Puts trade in incriments of five dollars.There are for example 135 Calls, 140 Calls, 145 Calls. Having a five dollar spread wipes out the incentive try to daytrade option series which are soon to expire. If the stock moves from 142 to 143 the "bids and asks" on a 140 series of Calls might hardly change. It's not like trading the stock like Boeing where you can get in and out with option series set up in increments of $2.50 . Here is it's one month charts. The company now has a new C.E.O who is getting criticized for not moving to go electric quickly enough.
What I am now about to show you might discredit some of my above points. It's a five day chart on Toyota and look how all the action seems to happen on the opening. Why? It's the effect of overnight trading on other markets. Our North American trading follows Toyota's overseas market trading.
Now back to my point of how contracts trade. A volume of three and twelve contracts in the 140 Calls and Puts series that expire soon. Look at how wide apart the "bids and asks" are and how low the outstanding number of open contracts are. It's crazy.
Toyota is a great company. It's just not one that attracts option players.

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