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Caterpillar Jumps On The Opening

Can you fight it? ... Why would you want to? It's not like the Stellantis opportunity we had on Monday morning. Is the stock running out of momentum? Now this less than an hour later. Caterpillar takes a hit. When Caterpillar goes up $30.00 in fourteen minutes and you catch it on the downside just take it and run. I will show you below how it closed the day. Now a trading comment. It's difficult to fight rising stocks and in hindsight the answer to Caterpillar's meteoric rise would be in holding it's thirty days Calls purchased in the recent past. Today's situation was a mid week option trade, the day of the week I have often said to be the day of reversals. Caterpillar jumped on no news and Deere just sputtered along. It's largely insituational trading and various analyist are bullish on the stock. If this kind of a jump happened on a Thursday or Friday I wouldn't be trying to play it for the downside. This was a one-off situation, something like t...

The Power Of "One-Month-Out-Options" For Short Term Gains.

It helps when the markets rally on a Monday but that's a secondary issue.
This blog is about stocks in the seventy dollar price range with options on them staggered in thirty day intervals. Is trading in options which trade in only in thirty day intervals better than options on stocks in the same price range that expire every Friday? My experience is that options on stocks that trade every thirty days tend to attract less interest which in turn means that they are less susceptible to "market-maker" manipulations. Yet this isn't really a point I want to debate. Now this, a look at the seventy series of Calls on "Carmax" at the end of the trading session today.
Bid 5:70 ask 5:90. Only two options traded on the day. Let's now look at it's five day chart.
So it jumped a touch but nothing to crazy. Now this, I did a blog last Friday, my previous blog where I showed what the same options were trading at on that day. Here is the printout I want to show.
A 10:39 a.m. readout on Friday morning showing only three option contracts traded with a last trading price traded of $4.07. Is there a lesson here to be gained? Yes, thinly traded "one-month-out" options can be successfully traded. What appreciations are there to be gained? Well there is less market maker manipulations. When you put in a closing sell ticket for only one, two or three contract and if the trend of the stock is upwards you will get a fill without going through the game of watching option makers wiggle the "bid-and-ask" in their favour. One month out options, played correctly are also less stressful to hold because the premiums built into an options price for it's time value will not disappear as quickly as the premiums built into one week out options. That's just the way I see it.

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