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Why Hertz Calls On A Early Thursday Afternoon Don't Work

First the chart. On paper it looks like this chart could rebound. Here is one series of it's "in-the-money" Calls. Here are three reasons why this situation is to dangerous to play. 1) There is a Avis Budget Group Inc. implosion happening today. A really big one. Read my previous blog. That's not directly related to this company but it makes the sector a bad space to be in. 2) The "bid-and-ask" spread is to far apart which helps to give the market makers some extra insurance. That plus the volume of trading is very light which also seems to give the house an advantage. Look Walmart.The spread is about the same but you can split the middle without affecting the "bids-and-asks" and the volumes are so much better. I like trading in that kind of space better. 3) Hertz is not the kind of company which comes out with daily or weekly updates. Contrast this to the stock Ford which seems to have good and bad news coming out every other day. With Ford so...

The Power Of "One-Month-Out-Options" For Short Term Gains.

It helps when the markets rally on a Monday but that's a secondary issue.
This blog is about stocks in the seventy dollar price range with options on them staggered in thirty day intervals. Is trading in options which trade in only in thirty day intervals better than options on stocks in the same price range that expire every Friday? My experience is that options on stocks that trade every thirty days tend to attract less interest which in turn means that they are less susceptible to "market-maker" manipulations. Yet this isn't really a point I want to debate. Now this, a look at the seventy series of Calls on "Carmax" at the end of the trading session today.
Bid 5:70 ask 5:90. Only two options traded on the day. Let's now look at it's five day chart.
So it jumped a touch but nothing to crazy. Now this, I did a blog last Friday, my previous blog where I showed what the same options were trading at on that day. Here is the printout I want to show.
A 10:39 a.m. readout on Friday morning showing only three option contracts traded with a last trading price traded of $4.07. Is there a lesson here to be gained? Yes, thinly traded "one-month-out" options can be successfully traded. What appreciations are there to be gained? Well there is less market maker manipulations. When you put in a closing sell ticket for only one, two or three contract and if the trend of the stock is upwards you will get a fill without going through the game of watching option makers wiggle the "bid-and-ask" in their favour. One month out options, played correctly are also less stressful to hold because the premiums built into an options price for it's time value will not disappear as quickly as the premiums built into one week out options. That's just the way I see it.

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