Featured

History Tells Us That Pfizer Might Sell Off

Here is how Pfizer traded over the last five trading sessions. $24.00 to almost $26.00 is a large move for this stock in such a short period of time. That doesn't happen very often. Now this, a look at how this stock has traded in the last three months. Here is what this one series on "in-the-money" Puts that expire on Friday are now trading at . So what's going on? Well their is one drug stock that is leading the pack today and helping to drive up the prices of many of the stocks in this same sector. Eli Lilly is on a bit of a terror. Now the same Pfizer Puts on Thursdays opening. Notice how much they fluctuated on the day? Now here is how they closed out the day. These options have one day of life still left in them. What a tough game to play. Now here now is the important part. Look at how these Puts traded minute-to-minute on the day. Getting in around 10:00 a.m. and out anytime in the afternoon was the best way to play it. It helped that the markets crash...
Post a Comment

The Power Of "Three-Day-Out" Puts On Four Stocks That In The Last Five Trading Sessions Have Outperformed The Markets

If we look at the stock Carvana from a five or ten day persective that's not really enough time to get a full understanding of why the stock is trading the way it is. First a look at it's one month chart.
Now a five day chart. On average it's up about five dollars a day.
It kind of makes you wonder when you can start to play the downside. Now Netflix, a five day chart. It's the same thing, it's up over $75.00 in five trading sessions.
We can't forget Tesla, it's up fifty dollars in five days.
Boeing also got sucked into the upward draft as it had a few bits of good news like a government contract for new planes. This stock has also jumped in price.
Had any option player tried to fight any of these stocks using Puts as a trading vehicle in the last five days they would have quite simply gotten smashed. Is there any reasons to now think its time to play the next three days of market trading looking for some downside action? Wednesdays are afterall days of market reversals? Here are the prices of slightly "out-of-the money" Puts on these four stocks which expire this Friday going into the opening bell on Wednesday morning. I have no clue what is going to happen. Let's watch an see what happens.
............
......................
..............
It should be interesting to see what happens. Now this, a look at the first three stocks in the first twenty-three minutes of trading. The D.J.I.A is up but not these first three stocks.
These options have jumped 70% in about twenty-three minutes. ...........................
These options have jumped about 53% in twenty-three minutes......................
These options have jumped about 51% in twenty-three minutes. The Boeing options have not really moved.
. Wednesday mornings are sometimes like this. This is the first twenty two minute time period in the last five days of trading that any of these Puts options have increased in value. In option trading timing is everything. ** the closing readings.
With things like this happening more option chatter like this needed.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more