Featured

Costco. It's Short Term Options

 Options on stocks in the $1,000  range often move  50%  or more in only a matter of  minutes on the opening on Wednesday and Thursday's . The trick is to  anticipate correctly which way the markets are going to move. That's a fools game you might say? Yes and no. It may not be a game you ever play but it might be something to consider to put in your bag of tricks when you are on a role. One thousand dollar stocks sometimes move five, ten or fifteen dollars on the day. If you have profits it's best to take them quickly. Costco is a prime example of that. Let's look at this mornings action. First it's five day and one day charts. Tuesday's trading was kind of choppy. Might it drop on the opening tomorrow? Here is a look at where the 1,035 series of Puts closed that expire this Friday. They closed at $8.50. It looks like Costco cycled up about five times yesterday. Given a weak market opening doesn't it stand to reason a three or four or five dollar will be i...
Post a Comment

The Power Of "Three-Day-Out" Puts On Four Stocks That In The Last Five Trading Sessions Have Outperformed The Markets

If we look at the stock Carvana from a five or ten day persective that's not really enough time to get a full understanding of why the stock is trading the way it is. First a look at it's one month chart.
Now a five day chart. On average it's up about five dollars a day.
It kind of makes you wonder when you can start to play the downside. Now Netflix, a five day chart. It's the same thing, it's up over $75.00 in five trading sessions.
We can't forget Tesla, it's up fifty dollars in five days.
Boeing also got sucked into the upward draft as it had a few bits of good news like a government contract for new planes. This stock has also jumped in price.
Had any option player tried to fight any of these stocks using Puts as a trading vehicle in the last five days they would have quite simply gotten smashed. Is there any reasons to now think its time to play the next three days of market trading looking for some downside action? Wednesdays are afterall days of market reversals? Here are the prices of slightly "out-of-the money" Puts on these four stocks which expire this Friday going into the opening bell on Wednesday morning. I have no clue what is going to happen. Let's watch an see what happens.
............
......................
..............
It should be interesting to see what happens. Now this, a look at the first three stocks in the first twenty-three minutes of trading. The D.J.I.A is up but not these first three stocks.
These options have jumped 70% in about twenty-three minutes. ...........................
These options have jumped about 53% in twenty-three minutes......................
These options have jumped about 51% in twenty-three minutes. The Boeing options have not really moved.
. Wednesday mornings are sometimes like this. This is the first twenty two minute time period in the last five days of trading that any of these Puts options have increased in value. In option trading timing is everything. ** the closing readings.
With things like this happening more option chatter like this needed.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more