Featured

Ford Calls and a Big Surprise.

Look at this Ford chart on July 1st. Now todays Call options. Every quarter these types of reports come out. This one was good. Watch for it Next July 1st. A $2.00 option went up to close at $37.00. In my introductory remarks to this blogging channel a few years ago I said many old farts driving Mustang convertables paid for them from money made on playing Ford options. This bounce today in the Call prices based on this good news report of rising sales was one of those events. Now this, the strenght continued into the following day which is Wednesday July 2nd. This is a short week for option trading with tomorrow being the last day. Action like this is extremely rare.
Post a Comment

Charts Don't Usually Do This So Quickly. FedEx

Look at this chart - it was early into a Friday morning. I am sorry I ignored it.
It was Fed Ex and I was too busy to be watching it. My first thought when I saw the drop was that here is a perfect example of how a stock can drop and then be held perfectly still at a lower level. I often see this kind of a chart formation and know that it is often a precursor to further price declines. Yet I overlooked something. It's Fed Ex and this stock has a history of over amplify bad news and then somehow discounting that news.
......
The chart above shows its one year trading history. It's a power house business which has a history of getting knocked down. Now this.
Can you see how some traders were not afraid to buy in on bad news? In this case there was time after it crashed to get in on the buy side. Now a look at next weeks Calls to see the slightly different trading action.
NOW LOOK AT THIS. THIS IS SOMETHING SUPER IMPORTANT. Look at the open interest now in these next week Call option. OPTION TRADERS ARE SMART. THEY KNOW HOW TO PLAY THE GAME. Pick your battle and run. There are now only eight open contracts on this series of Calls! Yes eight. The consensus now is that this particular option series is now to risky to hold onto. (I will check back in a few days to show yu how they are doing). The end.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more