What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Watch Boeing Jump On News

First some news as the markets opened. Horwmet Aerospace offered this sobering news.
Then good old Joe made this statement.
Now the opening chart.
When I see opening charts like this I always want to play it in the opposite direction. What was my take on all of this news. New contracts are great, people are flying again and ticket prices are up. It's all good but Boeing doesn't really need more deals and orders. They are still trying to get back on track. Would this morning bounce go away? I thought so, I jumped in on Puts.
In at 9:45 a.m., 9:48 a.m. and 9:50 a.m. . I was confident in what I was doing but the stock seemed to stay persistently high.
Then I got frustrated with how it was trading and bailed out.
I sold all four contracts at 10:42 a.m. at $2.61 per contract so I only made a touch. I was in this position for just under an hour and was starting to worry about a second wave of buying coming into this position.
This chart above illustrates how they jumped higher in price after I got out and the chart below shows how Boeing traded on the day.
In hindsight these Puts reached a high of $3.70 at 11:50 a.m. I also did a short chase of Boeing as it rebounded but once again didn't have the patience to stay with it. Here is what I did.
In at 11:51 a.m at $375.00 and out at 12:29 at $430.00. a period of time of 38 minutes. I left good money on the table. I went on to successfully trade Visa on the downside and got out of that position 3:59:21 p.m. The DJIA closed down 156 points on the day. Visa released this news after the markets opened this morning. It sounds ambitious but seems a touch risky.
* see my most recent blogs about playing Visa.


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