Featured

Wednesdays Can Be Turn Around Days for One Week Options. Deere

Let's start with two charts. A five day chart and a one day chart as we approach noon today. .... ... Now a look at these two series of Puts which will be expiring this Friday. The 512.50 and the 510.00 Puts. These are thinly traded options with the built in worry of having a wide spread between the bid and ask. In some ways that doesn't matter, knowing that a ten dollar swing would not be out of the norm. More concerning however is the size of the spread on these next sightly "out-of-the-money" Puts. With spreads this far apart they would be difficult to buy into and sell out of. No one is giving away free money. Let's follow this story and see what ends up happening.
Post a Comment

Options on Five Dollar Stocks Can Surprise! HSAI

I have talked about this stock before (Hesai Group) and this morning it suprised again. Back on May 17th I did a blog on it called "A New Company To Learn About". Now lets look at it's current five day chart leading up to this morning.
Look at yesterdays volume pour into it. Now this mornings early action. Another spike in volume on the opening.
What's all the excitement about this morning?
If you don't know this company here is what they do.
Now back to my May 17th blog. Where were the five series of Calls on it trading back then which expire in January 2025? Here is how this same series of Calls is trading now.
No one had any interest in them. The bid and ask where crazy far apart. The option makers were burdened by making option markets for a stock with not much of an option trading history. The worry aferall is that a stock like this could double or tank overnight on news. Any stock could but more often it happens in this price range. Why would I say this? Well stocks in the $5.00 range are not penny stocks and are not likely to drop to zero overnight. With good news and a story that is for real they can sometimes pleasantly suprise. Here they are now.
So what happened today on November 27Th. Here now is its current five day chart and todays action in the 5 series of Call options on them that expire on Dec24, 2024.
Thursday was Thanksgiving and the markets were closed. This particular series of Calls still have a month to go. Trading volumes on Friday, the day after are usually expected to be somewhat subdued. Here is what happened to HSAI
This kind of upward action can't last forever. Options on stocks in the 5 dollar range can suprise.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more