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How To Avoid Time Value Traps With Last Week Options.

This blog is not going to be an exhausting study of this topic. I just want to show you a few charts found in recent blogs and comment on which ones seem to skirt the issue of "time-value-concerns' and which ones don't. 1) Avoid Thursday at the close Call options. In this case Thursday is the second last day of the above chart. If you guess the wrong direction on the close it's going to be game over on Friday when the options expire. Thursday at the close on options that expire the next day are the biggest time value traps you can buy into. If the stock moves in the wrong direction it's game over. 2) Ford on a Monday going into Tuesday. On this chart April 13th is a Monday and Tuesday is the 14th. Can you see Ford closing strong on the close of the 13th? It would make sense to get in on the stong closing because these Calls would still have four trading days to recover if Tuesdays opening was not all that spectacular. 3) This time it's Caterpillar and it...
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Options on Five Dollar Stocks Can Surprise! HSAI

I have talked about this stock before (Hesai Group) and this morning it suprised again. Back on May 17th I did a blog on it called "A New Company To Learn About". Now lets look at it's current five day chart leading up to this morning.
Look at yesterdays volume pour into it. Now this mornings early action. Another spike in volume on the opening.
What's all the excitement about this morning?
If you don't know this company here is what they do.
Now back to my May 17th blog. Where were the five series of Calls on it trading back then which expire in January 2025? Here is how this same series of Calls is trading now.
No one had any interest in them. The bid and ask where crazy far apart. The option makers were burdened by making option markets for a stock with not much of an option trading history. The worry aferall is that a stock like this could double or tank overnight on news. Any stock could but more often it happens in this price range. Why would I say this? Well stocks in the $5.00 range are not penny stocks and are not likely to drop to zero overnight. With good news and a story that is for real they can sometimes pleasantly suprise. Here they are now.
So what happened today on November 27Th. Here now is its current five day chart and todays action in the 5 series of Call options on them that expire on Dec24, 2024.
Thursday was Thanksgiving and the markets were closed. This particular series of Calls still have a month to go. Trading volumes on Friday, the day after are usually expected to be somewhat subdued. Here is what happened to HSAI
This kind of upward action can't last forever. Options on stocks in the 5 dollar range can suprise.

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