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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...

The Markets Never Stop. The Stock Lowes And Forward Looking Thinking.

An earning's report came out and some of the reason's the stock dropped made sense. Let me tell you what happened and why. Lowe's sold off in price over $12.00 in one day on an earnings report. How bad was the report? Well that is something that is debatable. Some people would say that past sales are not a good indication as to what might happen next.
Not many option traders attempted to trade in it. Some traders derive more pleasure in playing the rebounds after these types of announcements come out.
Here is what their C.E.O said. It is her job to try to put was a positive spin on things. Every word she uttered was well rehearsed.
Lowes and Home Depot are always difficult to play because their stories can be spun in so many different ways. On a different note, the Put options five dollars "out-of-the-money", which were the 265 series of Puts were a cheaper and a more profitable way to play this action than the 270 Puts. Yet then again, if the stock only dropped five dollars then that wouldn't be the case.
When you see something that say $6.30 up $3.96 that means the Puts ended the previous day at $2.34. Learn to pick your battles. Lowes came back a bit the following morning. Home Depot did not as that stock might have dropped in sympathy.
Now this. The market never stops. Lowes on the following morning was trying to shake off it's earning report. Florida still needs to be cleaned up.
Let's see if these Calls will have some strenght. Here they are on Friday morning, the day they expire.
This is an example of playing short term rebounds.

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