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The Long Awaited Deere Earning's Report

A few carefully crafted sentences puts to rest all concerns going forward. Read them below. Or do they? What am I talking about? I am talking about managements response to how well they did in their last quarter of operations. The long awaited Deere quarterly earnings report was released this morning. In previous blogs we showed how crazy expensive the Calls and Puts where on it, in anticipation of this news. So it's earnings are now published for all to read. It was announced that profits were down. Management basically says "so what". They also said in a round-about way that they were not going forward to be doing anything much differently. There were no apologies for a poor earnigs report as if it was something to be expected. All of their comments seemed pretty chill. The stock went up. That's a pattern more common as of late. So the Call options go crazy as you can see on the five day chart. Call option holders made money irrespective of how expensive they ini...

Caterpillar Drops on No News

This happens. A stock drops for no reason and then a day or two later viewpoints come out to explain why this has happened. Caterpillar this morning is a case in point.
Here is what the D.J.I. is doing at 10:37 a.m.
Here is how the Caterpillar 285 Calls are doing which expire this Friday. This printout is at 10:32 a.m.
Note they ended up going lower in price after this and went down to $1.78. The best time to have gotten in if you wanted to play a rebound was at 10:46 a.m. which was 14 minutes after the above printout. Timing is everything. Now here is a mid afternoon printout of how Caterpillar is now trading. Note the stock is trying to go sideways.
Here now is what the D.J.I. is doing at 3:06 p.m. It's still not having a good day and there is a good chance it could drop even more before the closing today. When the market struggles like this all day odds are it's not going rebound and if it does it could get knocked down again on the following opening.
If you were a trader you could take a small profit on this trade at this time and just wait for something else to do. I will tell you later how this position closed the day. Guess what! Here is how the day ended.
Day traders can make interesting decisions. A Thursday morning update in the first 45 minutes of trading. Buying in at the 3:59 p.m. plunge was the way to go.

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