What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Barron's Says

" Not much has changed for the power grid over the past couple of decades. The U.S. consumed about 4.2 trillion kilowatt-hours of electricity in 2022, a record, but overall demand has been sluggish - just 0.4% growth annually since 2000. About 60% of that comes from burning coal and natural gas. Another 20% comes from nuclear power, with another 20% from renewable sources..... Right now EVs account for less than 1% of total electricity demand.... All told, electricity use could grow by 2% over the next decade.... Production will also be increasingly decentralized. Utilities will still generate the bulk of the electricity, but it will also come from a Walmart store with a solar roof, a Telsa owner with a backup battery, or a homeowner with a standby generator." Telsa had a bad week for trading. Here is it's five day chart.
Telsa was down $18.60 on the week or 7.8%. It's getting to have a million pieces to the puzzle, with this week news of price drops in China and production problems in Europe. Fisker is also another EV company facing headwinds with the new realizations that production gains are a must to survive.
This at the same time of receiving awards.
Then there is Nio. Last week and the week before that it was the most actively traded stock by share volume on the NYSE. Look at how it traded in the past five days.
Even Ford got beat up.
What's going to cushion these blows going forward? Earning reports are off on the horizon reflecting yet another quarter of high priced vehicle sales. Yet these reports might also be full of some suprises. Remember my past blogs on the Canadian company Electrameccanica which hoped to produce three wheeled electric vehicles? Here is a five year look at it's chart.
Hopes for it's future are now dashed. It's no longer a going concern. Other early start EVs companies are succumbing to this fate.
Down but not totally out. Needless to say, the action in EV stocks has hit a rough patch.


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