Featured

Exxon And Tesla One Week Options

Exxon's five day chart is obviously going in one direction. Last Friday was a strong day for the markets and Exxon jumped up even more. Here we are now on a Monday morning and this week's Call and Put options are priced equally. Which one is going to win? As usual, there is more interest in the Calls than in the Puts. Let's also look at what might happen with Tesla this week. Oct 10th is now touted as being a "make or break day" for Tesla as it will be their "Robo-Taxi-Day". I am not a big fan of trying to play Tesla options with one week to go because their premiums are so expensive. As for Exxon, I would be more inclined to follow the direction of it's recent trend. Let's watch and see what happens. To be continued. 1) Obsevation #1 on a Monday morning. Look at this. Early into the morning trading the Puts have dropped down from the $1.80 level. Can you see how tight the "bids" and "asks" are. This helps to make them pl
Post a Comment

How Exxon Closed The Door On Option Traders Today

With Exxon we are dealing with a well oiled, well orchestrated machine. Every drop of oil and every trading derivative monitoring the flow of money surrounding oil is tightly scrutinized. Don't try to trade options on Exxon on Fridays that expire that very same day. You will get shut down. Here is a case in point. But wait. I take it all back. None of that is true at all. Look at this one printout which tells us so much.
At 12:08 p.m. here are the Exxon 104 Calls that expire for retail investors at 3:00 p.m. Look at how the contracts on the opening traded for under $.05 cents. It's noon and look at the profits which could have being made! A move of $.03 to $.37. Now here is the chart showing how Exxon traded on the day.
Now look at what the 104 Puts were trading at at 12:08 p.m.
Now this. Now it is time to change the title of this blog to How Exxon Didn't Close The Door On Option Traders Today. In fact, they left it wide open. Look at how Exxon dropped from 1:00 p.m. to 2:30 p.m. The 104 Puts that were trading for like $.25 cents at noon would have increased in price four fold in two hours. Here once again is a chart showing what Exxon slumped down to at 2:00 p.m.
It's easy to write blogs about things like this. The reality is that these kinds of trades are difficult to execute. I am just trying to open up your minds to the possibilities of what is out there. Come back soon and read more.  Let's jump ahead one week. It is now Thursday December 7th. Look at how it is down on the week.


Let's watch the action. These printouts are as of  11:50 a.m.

Let's now see what has happened at the end of the day.



Now here is it's five day chart.

Time now is working against the 100 series of Calls. Yet then again, it looks like it could bounce on the opening.   Here is the day ( a Friday ) action, well only the first 65 minutes of trading. Exxon is up $1.16. Here is a  look  the 100 series of Calls. Yes they are struggling but the Exxon 99 series of Calls had a nice bounce. Yes you can play short term Call options on this stock with only one day to go.


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas
Read more

The Crazy Last Day of Option Trading In Tesla.

Image
First, look at it's five day chart. Big jumps everyday. If you try and jump in and play the downside everyday you will quickly get beat up. Here for example is one look at the Tesla 235 Puts on Wednesday at 9:34 a.m., only then to check out the same Puts a few minutes later at 10:15 a.m. How do you know what to do? Well you don't fight stocks running up over $8.00 in the first thirteen minutes of trading. Now here is how these Puts were trading at 12:59 p.m. The game is to sell the Puts when the stock is rising and then cover them to be out of the markets at a profit by the end of the day. It's not the small fish playing this game. Now today is Thursday July 4th and the markets are closed. Tomorrow is Friday July 5th.These Put options will be expiring at tomorrow at 3:00 p.m. If Telsa opens down two or three dollars on the opening there is the potential for a small reaction. They will still however be extremely "out-of-the-money". They might jump a touch i
Read more

Deere Lays Off /Tesla / Eli Lilly/ Home Depot/ Nio

Image
It was announced today, a Tuesday that Deere is going to lay off some of it's workers. Perhaps that news was leaked out last Friday and that's why it could have sold off last Friday afternoon. The stock basically has done nothing over the last three years but some traders love it for it's thirty day swings. I have talked about Deere before. The markets were accepting of this news. In other news Tesla Call option traders are rejoicing. Image getting in two trading sessions ago at $196.00 to watching it shot up to over $230.00? This was (it's up in the premarkets again) the Telsa trading opportunity of the year! Then there is upside movement in Eli Lilly. But then there is this background news. Now this. Talk of a hurricane. Will Home Depot go up? Then there is Nio. It's shares trade huge volumes and the stock has a wide following. Might it trade back up to $6.00? It's down almost half price on the year. One of the problems in trying to anticipate what m
Read more