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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Monday

Mondays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped upwards a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. The Puts are off about 50% on the day at this point in time. This is a 1:36 p.m.readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It's Puts. Why consider them? It would seem like kind of a random thing to do. Why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on all of last weeks business articles talking about how Caterpillar could potentially benefit from all this new AI movement. Caterpillar afterall builds heavy equipment which can be used in the construction of nuclear reactors. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. That's understandable. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this...
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A Santa Clause Rally in Boeing And Caterpillar And Others

It happened in the last thirty days.
Caterpillar was up $2.70 on the week and Boeing was up $10.83. These are both thirty day charts and as you can see both stocks have had huge runs.
So what next? Maybe it's time to splash some cold water on things. Here is a not so whimsical weekend report on Boeing.
Now look at how these three auto have done over the last run. Another Santa Clause rally.
All this keeps going. Look at Fedex, Costco and Home Depot over the last month.
So now what? Is the party soon coming to an end? Well here is the thing. These rallies are not exclusive to anyone stock. In a way that's kind of a bad thing. Each one of these individual stocks are up for non specific reasonings. Look at Walmart and it's one month chart. It's down when everything else seems to be up.
Why isn't Costco affected by this news?
The current news is that higher interest rates are here to stay. Strong jobs reports makes big rate cuts unlikely in 2024 and we are living in a more inflation prone world. Earning reports this year in general are healthy. But wait, things can change. We are bordering on a recession. I hate to ask this question but I am going to. If Walmart is down why is Costco up? It's a puzzle. (90% of the U.S. population lives within ten miles of a Walmart and the company has a broad customer base). Wouldn't they have their ears to the ground as to what is happenening? I am not a big fan of Costco Puts because the stock has a history of out outperforming the markets. At some point however on a strong uptick they might be something to consider. When it falls it can fall big/

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