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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...
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A Santa Clause Rally in Boeing And Caterpillar And Others

It happened in the last thirty days.
Caterpillar was up $2.70 on the week and Boeing was up $10.83. These are both thirty day charts and as you can see both stocks have had huge runs.
So what next? Maybe it's time to splash some cold water on things. Here is a not so whimsical weekend report on Boeing.
Now look at how these three auto have done over the last run. Another Santa Clause rally.
All this keeps going. Look at Fedex, Costco and Home Depot over the last month.
So now what? Is the party soon coming to an end? Well here is the thing. These rallies are not exclusive to anyone stock. In a way that's kind of a bad thing. Each one of these individual stocks are up for non specific reasonings. Look at Walmart and it's one month chart. It's down when everything else seems to be up.
Why isn't Costco affected by this news?
The current news is that higher interest rates are here to stay. Strong jobs reports makes big rate cuts unlikely in 2024 and we are living in a more inflation prone world. Earning reports this year in general are healthy. But wait, things can change. We are bordering on a recession. I hate to ask this question but I am going to. If Walmart is down why is Costco up? It's a puzzle. (90% of the U.S. population lives within ten miles of a Walmart and the company has a broad customer base). Wouldn't they have their ears to the ground as to what is happenening? I am not a big fan of Costco Puts because the stock has a history of out outperforming the markets. At some point however on a strong uptick they might be something to consider. When it falls it can fall big/

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