The Dow Up 457 And the Nasdaq Up 460.70

Look at these gains today. Today is a Thursday. Meta is up $18.04, AMD is up $17.49, NVDA is up 110.55, AMZN is up $6.00, ELI lILLY is up 23.75, SUPER MICRO is up $241.52, NETFLIX is up $15.12, COSTCO is up $11.38 AND MODERNA is up $11.85. Gains of $110.55 and $241.52 in one day on two stocks! What's that all about? Well warning bells should be going off. We must be at a short term top. Three stocks stand out to me that are having changing stories. 1) Moderna. 2) Rivian. 3) Lucid In these crazy markets a lot of these stories get buried. Option players in these markets are getting whipsawed and it is getting to be to difficult a market to play in. Once this final round of earning reports are over things should get back to normal.

Hog Again (Harley Davidson) and Caterpillar

Back on November 3th 2021 I wrote a blog about Hog and I was of the opinion that stocks in the thirty and forty dollar price range were difficult to play. They are and it takes good news to cause them to pop. Today Harley Davidson popped on an earnings report. Here is a five day chart which shows how much it bounced. It's difficult to watch everything - I missed it. Noted here also is a reference to "LiveWire", a spin off of it's electric motorcycle division.That's something worth investigating.
Now here is it's chart showing todays activity. After you look at it I have an interesting observation to make.
Here now is a look at how the 38 series of Calls traded on it today. What is of interest is the number of open interest Call options going into the opening and the total number of options traded today. Nobody was playing it, meaning the outstanding open interest going into this earnings report was very low. After you look at this chart I will try to better explain why all of this is so interesting.
Notice now that traders were able to buy into this situation in the first ten or twenty minutes of trading at bargain prices. Yes the 38 series of Call options were "out-of-the-money" but the stock had a reason to go up. Their earnings where a great suprise. With other stocks that are higher priced like Boeing and Caterpillar when they have good earning reports before the bell opens they are mostly likely fully priced on the opening. It also helps that the markets in general were strong today. I found it strange that "late-to-the-party" option traders were able to profit on this morning's news. In a way this stock might be in for a rough ride even if sales pick up. Longer term like a year out rising interest rates will slow the rate of sales. On a different note I talked last week about Caterpillar and showed a five day chart of how it swings. Caterpillar today started to sell off around two p.m. and here is what it's chart looked like when I purchased a 200 series of Call option on it.
Now look at this second chart.
I was lucky to get out four minutes and four seconds before the closing bell as the stock started to drop just after that. It was a 74 minute hold. Look now of how few contracts traded on this series of Calls today. Trader's are not excited about it's five day chart and playing interday swings is a lot of work.
The only downside in taking a short term profit is that if Caterpillar jumps up on the opening tomorrow I miss out on a bigger move. Here is another look at it.
Finally, here here is how the Cat 200 Call series opened on the following day. Note how light the volume is.


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