Featured

Caterpillar Reports This Week

Caterpillar builds things the world needs. Rivals are few and far between. Here is how Caterpillar traded last week. It was down $4.35. The stock has had a good run in the last while. Option traders seem to stay away from playing options on Caterpillar. This stock began a major move upwards back in September. Now we are in a situation where Caterpillar's quarterly earnings report will be coming out this Thursday morning before the markets open. Typically when this happens the stock moves up or down like $10.00 to $20.00 in the first few opening minutes of trading. This time should be no different. Analyst have already weighted in their opinions of what the earning numbers will look like. Here is how two series of options (one series of Calls and one series of Puts) closed on Friday Oct 24th. These two series of options still have one week of trading life left in them. ...... Both the Calls and Puts are super expensive. Bad news could rock the stock for like $15.00-$35.00 per sha...
Post a Comment

A Four Minute Intro to Nio

Last week Ford was the second most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume. It closed at $17.83, down 1.2% on the week. Nio was the fourth most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume.That's an accomplishment in itself. It closed at $20.94 down 9.8%. Here is a picture of one of the electric cars it races. It is the fastest electric car in the world.
Here now is some company news.
Now let's look at it's trading history starting with a three year chart and followed by a one year chart and then finally a one week chart.
Might this stock, and Ford start to rebound back up in the first quarter of this year? It's chart isn't particularly attractive but the story behind the chart seems to be good. The stock's price got ahead of itself. I will be tracking the Call and Put options on it this week. *** I am not a fan of purchasing Calls or Puts with one week to go on stocks in the 20 price range. The premiums are to high with only five trading days to go. Tuesdays or Wednesdays are usually better to play the swings in conjunction with what the indexes are doing. Here now is a look at the Nio 20 series of Calls and Nio 20 series of Puts going into the opening on Monday morning. When playing these options one should be looking for short term swings and the near constant danger is that the stock might move a dollar putting you in a position which then goes offside and then never comes back again.
The liquidity in these options is excellent. A Monday update. It's up.
Now here is how the stock end the day (a Monday) and here is a look at the twenty series of Calls and Puts.
The Calls doubled in price in one day and the Puts lost 2/3ths of their value. All on a down day. This is the action that I am talking about.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slightly out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-ma...
Read more

Another Blog On "Vinfast"

Image
There is so much to read about this companies history online. Do your own homework. Their success is not dependent on what ends up happening with their sales in North America. They are nimble. There are plenty of auto factories all over the world now for sale they can acquire. They have dabbled in Australia. Having access to money to keep going doesn't seem to be their problem. Rivian also seems to enjoy this advantage. Vinfast is currently building a new plant in India which could employ thousands of people. That's an emerging new market. New relationships are being built and new investors will be coming onboard. Are option players looking at this stock? Not really if we look at these "one-month-out" Calls. What about Calls further out? What about next January? Here is a look at the three and four series of Calls. Nobody seems willing to bet Vinfast Calls. Now this. Here are two snippets taken from a blog I wrote about this stock back in early December of 2024. ...
Read more

Waiting For A Drop On The Opening On Bad News - Eli Lilly

Image
Here is the bad news. The company is Eli Lilly. How bad is this news? Well look at it trading in the premarkets. So what do I think? I think the news is a setback of sorts, but not really all that bad. The stock is going to open lower, that's a given. It's like trying to play Boeing after an announcement that an airplane has crashed. So the stock is going to crash and it might have a small rebound and then it's going to slide down some more. A test of sorts will happen sometime in the afternoon. It might stock falling but then where will it go from there? The best case scenario is a recognition that investors got it all wrong and the stock ends up flat on the day. Yet there might be more of a downward dumping of the stock on the close followed by a selloff on tomorrows opening. Should option players be jumping in to play the upside on next week's Calls? That is the question. Here is a look at Boeing on the days after a crash. Day two after the crash was equally as ...
Read more