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Why The Appeal Of Trading Caterpillar Options Is Now Diminishing

In previous blogs I looked at Caterpillar spiking upwards through the $1,000.00 barrier for the very first time. Twenty and thirty and forty dollar daily jumps on the stock were the norm. Today we are entering more sobering times. Pundits are now commenting on the upcoming release on August 4th of Caterpillar's quarterly earning report. That is not far away. The stock has doubled in price in a relatively short period of time. Is the party over? Look at Caterpillars one year chart. The companies earnings have not doubled in the last year. Far from it. So now what? Buy a Put option thirty days out in the hopes the stock might drop ten percent on a more normalized earning's report? Maybe. Here is an example of the cost of what one of these Puts would look like. Given it's current bid and ask the stock would have to drop to the $1,005.00 just to break even. It could, however most active option day traders are seeking opportunities which can play out in hours or in a day. Case...
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A Four Minute Intro to Nio

Last week Ford was the second most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume. It closed at $17.83, down 1.2% on the week. Nio was the fourth most active stock traded on the NYSE by share volume.That's an accomplishment in itself. It closed at $20.94 down 9.8%. Here is a picture of one of the electric cars it races. It is the fastest electric car in the world.
Here now is some company news.
Now let's look at it's trading history starting with a three year chart and followed by a one year chart and then finally a one week chart.
Might this stock, and Ford start to rebound back up in the first quarter of this year? It's chart isn't particularly attractive but the story behind the chart seems to be good. The stock's price got ahead of itself. I will be tracking the Call and Put options on it this week. *** I am not a fan of purchasing Calls or Puts with one week to go on stocks in the 20 price range. The premiums are to high with only five trading days to go. Tuesdays or Wednesdays are usually better to play the swings in conjunction with what the indexes are doing. Here now is a look at the Nio 20 series of Calls and Nio 20 series of Puts going into the opening on Monday morning. When playing these options one should be looking for short term swings and the near constant danger is that the stock might move a dollar putting you in a position which then goes offside and then never comes back again.
The liquidity in these options is excellent. A Monday update. It's up.
Now here is how the stock end the day (a Monday) and here is a look at the twenty series of Calls and Puts.
The Calls doubled in price in one day and the Puts lost 2/3ths of their value. All on a down day. This is the action that I am talking about.

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