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This One Is Too Nervous To Watch. Pfizer

This is a short blog full of twists. Try to get through it. First a five day chart of Pfizer. chart. In the past week it was up $1.05 and it was the 7th most activity traded stock on the NYSE most active list. It's in a breakout mode. Look at how it traded over the last three years. This breakout mode might last a few days, weeks or months. This stock has a history of moving somewhat slower than most stocks. A second quarter earnings report comes out July 30th. If it's good that could add a touch to the stock's price. Now this. As a general rule stocks and options on stocks in this particular price range are difficult to play and in this case everyone is following the same story. Fred down the street and John around the corner and Mark across town are all dialed into the same commentary. There is nothing that really gives you an edge when it comes to playing it. That's the problem. Here now is a look at the Pfizer "next-week-out" $30.00 series of Call optio

Deere and Boeing, The Second Day In A Row With A 500 Point Day Decline

In this market environment playing the market has become for some traders an hour to hour exercise. Many investors shy away from this method of trading and consider it to be a fool's game. Yet at times opportunities present themselves that are just to good to ignore. First, here is how the markets closed out the day followed by where the DJI index was at at 1:30 p.m. this afternoon.
It got ugly quickly in the early afternoon. Here are a look at Deere and Boeing at that time.
Now for some afternoon Deere "Put" quotes. Deere spent most of the morning in the 398-399 range at which time the 400 series of Puts that were to expire that day traded down to $2.00 a contract. Can you see that?
Here is how this series of options closed on the day. Note the price swing in the day from an interday low of $200.00 per contract up to a high of $1,057.00 per contract.
This you might say was a one time blip. Yet what's going to happen to Put options on a stock in the $400.00 range just prior to the markets losing hundreds of points in the matter of two hours? It's not rocket scientist stuff. It actually happens and I am amazed that more traders are not tuned into this stuff. It's the leverage you get with options that have an expiry date only a few hours away. Yes it's high risk but when the bottom falls out of things like it did today the downward action is often swift, directional and decisive. It's like watching a train reck about to happen. The Boeing story today was much the same. Here is it's one day chart and a look at the action in the Puts. Notice that the 220 Puts were trading for $.50 going into the lunch hour. Look at how high they traded up to. One slice of the action here shows them going from $2.15 per contractto $6.30 per contract in only 26 minutes. Look at the chart below.
Look at the open interest and volumes of contracts traded today in this series of Puts. Boeing always has a large following. Option traders playing the downside watched the carnage happening all around them with glee and were able to make out big time on this one. **** to read yesterday's blog on Deere on the previous day scroll up to the top left icon.

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