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What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Sunnier Days

The Dji index is down 500 points in one morning's session and it looks like some stocks might be looking for reasons to rebound. Look at Moderna, a drug stock and it's five day and one day chart as of 12:30 p.m. today. It's down sixteen dollars on the day.
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Here are a look at two series of Call options on it which expire at the end of the week.
What's now happening? Players are looking for swings. If Moderna was to gain back half of what it lost on the day in the next few hours then the Calls with the two hundred series striking price might rebound back up to three dollars. It's the two dollar options which are trading with more volumes. So option players are looking for a three hour afternoon rebound to make a gain of fifty percent on their investment. Fair is fair but think of all the speculators who bought in when the stock was five or ten dollars higher earlier this morning looking for a rebound. In the big scheme of things when the markets drop five hundred points in one morning and your sitting on the sidelines the best thing to do is wait for sunnier days. *** Part two. This morning Boeing continued to move up, following it's recent trend. Yet why is it going up if the rest of the market is crashing?
Boeing did finally decide to sell off in sympathy with the rest of the market as the above chart shows and at 1:10 p.m. here is what these Puts looked like. It's mid morning running out of steam did create a playable trade. I will recap both of these trading situations at the end of the trading session.
+++ The markets traded sideway all afternoon and never came back. No pop in Moderna and Boeing tried to rally but then gave it all up. That's why you kind of have to stay away on mornings it drops 500 points.
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