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CarMax Puts?

 Here is the number. Call in to listen to their just released quarterly report. You won't have to talk to anyone. It is 800-839-1247. In about five days this link will disappear. Please listen to it. I listened to all of it once and to the first half of it two times. What I learned is that their retail car sales on the quarter compared to the same quarter a year were up 6%. They purchased 336.000 vehicles from the public, up 7% and 48.000 from dealers up 38%. Their average retail sale price was $26,100, down $400.00 per vehicle from last year. They doubled their share buy back program. AI technologies are now helping them operate more efficiently. Everything seems positive. But wait, we are talking about  the used car business and what could happen if consumer confidence suddenly starts to wain? Look at it's three year chart. It now sees to be hitting a rough patch.  Now a one month chart.  All of this talk about tariffs and what level of tariffs will be imposed on n...

Sunnier Days

The Dji index is down 500 points in one morning's session and it looks like some stocks might be looking for reasons to rebound. Look at Moderna, a drug stock and it's five day and one day chart as of 12:30 p.m. today. It's down sixteen dollars on the day.
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Here are a look at two series of Call options on it which expire at the end of the week.
What's now happening? Players are looking for swings. If Moderna was to gain back half of what it lost on the day in the next few hours then the Calls with the two hundred series striking price might rebound back up to three dollars. It's the two dollar options which are trading with more volumes. So option players are looking for a three hour afternoon rebound to make a gain of fifty percent on their investment. Fair is fair but think of all the speculators who bought in when the stock was five or ten dollars higher earlier this morning looking for a rebound. In the big scheme of things when the markets drop five hundred points in one morning and your sitting on the sidelines the best thing to do is wait for sunnier days. *** Part two. This morning Boeing continued to move up, following it's recent trend. Yet why is it going up if the rest of the market is crashing?
Boeing did finally decide to sell off in sympathy with the rest of the market as the above chart shows and at 1:10 p.m. here is what these Puts looked like. It's mid morning running out of steam did create a playable trade. I will recap both of these trading situations at the end of the trading session.
+++ The markets traded sideway all afternoon and never came back. No pop in Moderna and Boeing tried to rally but then gave it all up. That's why you kind of have to stay away on mornings it drops 500 points.
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