What To Focus On - Part Two

My blog of November 27th was entitled "What to Focus On". Please read it. This week we are feeling a bit of a hangover. Last's weeks triple witching event is over. Stocks that were forced to contract in price to sqeeze out spectatate positions on them are now free to resume there old trading patterns. This Monday morning at 10:20 a.m. the Djia is up 301 points. There are also losers. So now what? Mark on your calendar exactly three months down the road how the markets traded on the first morning after one of these triple witching events and use this same logic to catch the upside on the next "hangeover" day like this. How do you pick the winners? Find a few stocks that have enjoyed a recent upswing and play them to pop on the first trading session after one of these events. This blog is just an observation.

Playing a Bounce After a Five Hundred and Forty Three Point Selloff

Yesterday we looked at the drug stock Moderna as the stock dropped eighteen dollars and twelve cents in one day on no real news and we were following two Call option series, one being "near-the-money" and one being "out-of-money". Today the market dropped another big chunk.
Stay away correct? Well kind of. If a stock drops eighteen dollars on one day and if most stocks had large losses what might you consider at do at 3:59:52 p.m. on the day of this fall? You might consider buying "in-the-money" Calls waiting for an uptick on the opening. We talked about the 185 Calls and the 200 series of Calls. The stock closed if you remember at $186.40. Why Moderna and not look at Calls on stocks which dropped by a lessor stock amount? Well eighteen dollars is enough of a drop to attract bargain hunters. Here is what happened on the opening today and here is how the 185 Calls looked in the early morning trading. The stocked bounced to over 190.00 in the first few minutes of trading after closing at $186.00 and look at how high the Calls traded up too.
They closed at $10.00 opened at $11.00 and went as high as $13.10. That was a trade. If the market had of rebounded it would have popped up more. Look at how the stock went on the trade on the remainer of the day.
Will the 175 Calls get a slight bounce on the opening tomorrow opening? A dead cat bounce? The answer is probably no as there is not much to get excited about on the upside at this point in time. There would have to be some good news for the industry. Something to cause some confidence to start to buy in.


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