Featured

Costco on a Wednesday Going Into Thursday.

Let's look at it's five day chart of Costco. I talked about how Costco spiked on an earning's report last Friday. Why would a food distribution stock do so well in such uncertain times? This five day chart is as of 3:30 p.m. on Wednesday. It's kind of going sideways on the day. Sideway moving stocks take the air out of short-term option pricings. Here are the 1040 Puts which are fifteen dollars "out-of-the-money". Why bet on a stock dropping that much in two trading sessions? One reason is that a drop of half of that amount will move the needle on these $3.29 Puts.  Options on stocks that trade in the $1,000 can take some strange twists and turns. But why Puts and not Calls?  The main reason is that Costco jumped last week on an earnings report which was not necessarily all that impressive.  Is Costco about to now take it on the chin?  Sometimes it takes a week or two for stocks to come off their "earning-report-highs". Then there is the new issue of...
Post a Comment

Polestar and Ford

Polestar is tough to play because a ten or twelve dollar stock takes good news to make it go up. With no news the stock just goes sideways. Rememmber last week how Ford was on a terror and in my last blog I said I don't like buying Call options on a Monday that expire at the end of the week. Ford dropped fifty-nine cents yesterday creating an opportunity to get in today and hope that it rebounds.
I don't generally like to pinpoint trading trading opportunities however the good news story on Ford is still the same today as it was last week.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

Image
What does the word disconnect mean? As a verb it means "to sever or interrupt the connection of or between; detach". Option trading - one day options - is a disconnect from the world. What happens to slightly "out-of-the-money" Call options on Costco when the stock shoot up thirty dollars on the day? I will show you what happened on Friday to Costco Calls and the options on a few other stocks I frequently watch. What a disconnect from the real world. But before that a look at how the indexes traded. 1) Costco. It's five day chart and a look at how three of it's option series moved upwards in one day. You may not know how to read these printouts but try to read the highs and lows on these option pricings. One printout shows an "at-the-money" option which means you are buying a contract on the stock, good for one day only at a locked in price equal to (or very close to) what the stock is currently trading at. The other two contracts shown are ...
Read more

The Little Engine That Could

Image
Walmart again. It's all I seem to blog about. Here is it's five day chart. The stock keeps going up and the option series are set up in one dollar spreads. Even a fifty cent move on the stock moves the needle on these Calls. Look at how this series of Calls was trading yesterday at 3:00 p.m.. Now here is this same series of Calls just before noon today. Thirty days of upward action like this punctuated by the off day of decline. Now notice the higher volume of trading in the series of Calls with the higher striking price. These are the ones's with more leverage. At the same time look at the five day chart on Costco. The two stocks sometimes trade in tandem. Humpty dumpty sat on a wall .... a had a great fall. Someday soon a fall might happen but what a great ride it has been.
Read more

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?

Image
Some say to think small, not big. Trying to play Disney options is thinking big. It is a stock slighty out of favor. If we start with it's a three year chart, we will see it is down by about 50% over that period of time. Now it's one year chart. If the stock can break 110 in early 2024 the sky is the limit. It does have a lot of moving parts so anything could happen. Look at these Calls options one year out. One year in options buys a lot of time.They look reasonable. If the stock ever inched up to the $105.00 price level in the three or four months these options would jump up in price by about 50%. Even more if they had really good news. Yet it's the "what-if" aspect of the equation that castes such a trade in doubt. "What if" stories just don't cut it. There are to many variables in play. Then again, why are we even thinking of long-term Call options after a December's rally? Let's switch gears. If consumers are out spending for X-mas...
Read more