Featured

Late To The Party Option Players - Disney

Can late to the party option traders make money? It's something to consider? These Call options expire this Friday. There was news on it before the opening today. The second chart below a few minutes later shows it hanging tough. At 10:01 a.m. we now checking out the Puts. The bid and ask on the Puts are very tight. That also makes us ask what happened to the Disney 101 Calls that we first looked at? Here is what the chart now looks like. More Call option players have jumped in to play the upside that the downside. Might one do a spread and try to play it both ways hoping for a breakout either way? That's an option to consider. Disney has being a dog of a stock now for a year so might some profit taking set in? How is Disney going to pay for another theme park? With that on their plates forget any share buy back programs. They are taking on new risks in a period of global uncertainity. Are late to the party option traders best just to stay away from this unexpected situ...

"Puts" on Caterpillar and The Lion Electric Company

I wanted to call this website "CatCalls" but "Go Daddy" wanted a couple of thousand for that name. Instead I went with "CatPuts" for about twenty dollars. My license plate says "Catputs". Why am I now mentioning this? Well I missed the greatest "Caterpillar" sell off in price so far this year that all happened in the last five trading days. I bought into Calls instead at about lunch time last Monday. My logic and timing were off. I went against my principles of not purchasing "Call" options on a Monday mornings. Here is it's one week chart, it's one year chart and the Deere and Company five day chart. "Caterpillar" dropped twenty dollars in one week or 9.5%. Each day it dropped.
I like playing the Calls and Puts on Caterpillar because as I have mentioned before it is not a stock prone to directional moves based on chit chat. So on Monday and Tuesday I scoured the internet with no luck looking for news on what might be the cause of this unsual decline. There was nothing to be found. The IMF estimates that the global economy will expand 5.8% and the U.S. economy by 4.7% in 2021. Many of last weeks short term "Put" options on "Caterpillar" increased in price ten fold. Analyst are now saying to stay away until it finds a base. The stock has had a good run and as it turns out I got burnt trying to play the top of the market. Stuff like this happens. Next, do you know about a stock with the symbol "LEV"? It's "The Lion Electric Company" which is Quebec based company. They build electric vehicles yet their business model is flawed for the reasons outlined before. Yet traders are buying Calls on it most likely because of it's recent dip.
Orders on the books for over 1,000 vehicles while deliveries of 24 vehicles in the first quarter of 2021 and 2 in the first quarter of 2020. What's going to drive the stocks price back up when their production numbers are so poor. Nothing. 24 or 48 or 96 vehicles is not enough to turn a profit. It's that simple. Now also in the works is the construction of a $185 million dollar electric battery plant next to the Montreal-Marabel International Airport. How are they going to pay for it? Government support? On the surface it seems like they have too much on their plate. Why not just focus more on getting trucks out their door? Incorporated in 2008. That said, it's difficult not to be impressed with how they have gotten this far. The bottom line is that investor's can't wait forever to see profits start to role in.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Living on Kraft Dinner?

The Little Engine That Could

A Fireside Chat - One Year Options and Thirty Day Options. Which is Better?