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Caterpillar - Catching A Reversal On A Tuesday

Tuesdays are not the best of days to look for reversals however Caterpillar jumped a modest amount which impacted the value of this series of Puts. This is a 1:36 p.m. readout. Here is it's five day chart. Now its one day chart. It would seem like kind of a random thing to do and why fight a strong stock? One reason is that the markets are only mildly up and could give back some of it's gains before the end of the day. Caterpillar could be gaining strenght based on last weeks articles talking about how Caterpillar could potential gain from this new AI movement. Notice that the five day chart is in an uptrend and notice the small open interest numbers in the Puts. No one wants to hold Puts on Caterpillar when it is in this uptrend. Could it has a soft selloff in the next two hours? Here it is now 50 minutes later. The "bid and ask" are almost unchanged. There is also not much change in the DJIA index.Now this. The DJIA is sellig off and Caterpillar is hanging ...
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"Apple" at 3:15 p.m.

Last week we talked about "Apple" being a nice stock to trade options on and one of the reasons given was it's one dollar spreads on it's option. Most other stocks in that price range have options on them which have wider striking prices. A 120 Call, a 122.50 Call and a 125 Call for example. That's what you are most likely to see. That being said, the underlying price swings with these "other stocks" needs more of a noticeable and extended directional move to be able to play them successfully. Weekend articles mentioned "Apple" doing well in a rising interest rate environment because of it's abilities to make money on borrowed money forming low cost debt. I wouldn't read too much into that. Today with the D.J.I up 90 points going into the closing trading hour of the day look at how well the 13 series of Call options that expire this week are trading. Up slow and steady all afternoon.
Notice also one again how the volume of daily trading in this series exceeds the open interest. That's always the way it is. The focus always seems to be on interday trading. ^^^^^^^^^ A Next day update. Notice how the market was down and the volumes of trading was way down.
All things considered the stock rallied again on the opening and then off slightly and these premiums dropped accordingly. Let's now look at how the "Puts" now looked on todays action, this time the 134 Puts and not the 133 Puts. Money can be made both ways.
You can see the low of the day on these "Puts" was about 1:20 p.m. when Apple spiked a touch.

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