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Options On Stocks In The Fifteen And Twenty Dollar Price Range With Seven Days To Go And Not Five Days To Go.

I should have called this blog "Ford Calls" or "Harley Davidson Calls" to get more hits but this time I want to show you something a little bit different. What I want to show you is how options with seven days of trading life left in them can suprise. Seven days and not five days. What's the big difference? Well the extra day buys you the action of a Friday bounce without having to worry about your option position expiring that day. Seven and not six days also. These options would need to be bought on a Thursday before the close. This may sound kind of confusing but let me show you two examples of what played itself out last Friday. Let's first use the stock Harley Davidson and use it's Call options as an example. Here is how "seven-day-out-Call-options" would have traded the day later on Friday February 12th. They jumped 60% in one day! What kind of a jump in the stock's price would have caused that to happen? Well let's look at it...
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Walmart Starting With 2:25 p.m. On A Monday. It's Christmas Week.

First the one day chart.
The markets on the day are down.
Now it's Puts at 2:25 p.m.
Now it's closing price.
Now Tuesday morning.
In some ways we are wasting our time watching what seems to sideways motion. Is this what successful option trading is all about? It's not like watching Tesla or Caterpillar coming out with earning reports, or watching Boeing jump up in price over the last few weeks. There really isn't any reason to be in this position, other than the indexes are down for the second day in a row. With the clock ticking away at you is this a good time to be risking your capital? Not really. It is a struggle.
Now let's look at Walmart at the end of the day on Tuesday. The stock went down in value on the day as did the Puts. Yes the time value is going down which is partially to blame and the indexes also had a drop. These are quiet markets during this holiday period with fewer news report expected to be coming out.
Let's see what happens. Low priced "in-the-money" options with two day to go until expiring in this price range can suprise. At $.62 cents ($62.00) per contract these Puts could be a bargain. Here they are in aftermarket trading. Aftermarket trading this far away from the opening bell doesn't mean to much.
To be continued. Now Wednesday morning.
Now this. The market tanked near the end of the day.
$.65 to $.75 Not much of a gain. Christmas week is not the week for playing options. These options still have one days trading life in them. Trying to outsmart this stock at this juncture is not the way to go. Now one more thing.
With the low trading volumes all week hanging around for another day with no exit plan in case the stock goes the wrong way is not the space to be in. The end.

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