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Caterpillar Drops $60.00 In Five Days - Noon On A Wednesday

In past blogs I have mentioned how light the volume of trading is in Caterpillar options. Trading them is a challenge. Deere options are also like this. Caterpillar can and does (in recent times) swing $10.00 on any given day. It is noon on a Wednesday and this the one day of the week where you can look for reversals on "one-week" options expiring on Friday. I have talked about this many times before. Here are it's five and one day charts.
Now a look at two of it's Call option series.
The 560 series actually offer excellent value given how large it's morning drop was. Who cares to check the news on it? When it drops this much this quickly the bad news, if any, is already baked into the equastion. Now the second series of Call options I am showing you are $44.00 "out-of-the-money" and expire in 2.5 days. "Out-of-the-money" Calls to this extreme are a speciailty item. In layman's terms they are a longshots. They can be excellent trading vehicles if you happen to catch a reversal in a stocks move. A reversal of like fifteen dollars over two or three hours in the near term (like today) and not on the last day they expire would move the needle on these ones. You don't need a full $44.00 reversal. One caveat is that the wide spreads can be a detriment to you in the trading experience. You have to be more than fair in picking an exit price. More about that at another time.
Now this just after 1:00 p.m.
In just 59 minutes you could exist this position with a modest profit. Or look at these ones. The stock is up $3.90 from wnen we last looked at it and the Calls are actually down in price. It's going to take a ten dollar upward reversal to get this series of Calls up to a double in price. Let's see what happens.

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